Match Info

Division 1 - Round 32

Date: 10 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Tychy City Stadium (Tychy)

Referee: Urban P. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Polonia, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport


	GKS Tychy		Ruch Chorzów

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.5	1.83
	3.5	3.6	1.88
	3.5	3.55	1.95	Watch
	3.79	3.79	1.97
	3.72	3.6	1.93	Watch
	3.4	3.4	1.91
	3.58	3.58	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.57 ↓ (3.83)	3.57 ↑ (3.53)	1.9 ↑ (1.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

GKS Tychy
25.8%

Draw
25.8%

Ruch Chorzów
48.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.1%

26.1%

49.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.6%

25.5%

50.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

GKS Tychy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Ruch Chorzów has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for GKS Tychy than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ruch Chorzów than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

GKS Tychy - Ruch Chorzów Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ruch Chorzów (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Ruch Chorzów (1.34) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Ruch Chorzów (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
39. Madrzyk J. (G) 2. Silva L. 26. Lasicki I. (C) 29. Lysiak P. 22. Kubik T. 8. Szpakowski M. 37. Keiblinger J. 47. Jankowski B. 24. Baranski B. 92. Kadzior D. 99. Rygula T.	82. Bielecki J. (G) 28. Lesniak-Paduch N. 22. Watson M. 24. Komor A. 4. Preisler D. 25. Ventura D. 20. Szymanski S. (C) 13. Jendryka J. 18. Nagamatsu S. 21. Szwedzik P. 95. Szczepan D.
Substitutes
20. Krawczyk P. 10. Listkowski M. 21. Machowski K. 13. Proczek T. (G) 9. Rumin D. 7. Sandoval D. 18. Stefansson O. 90. Welniak K.	77. Ceglarz P. 38. Karasinski S. 7. Kolar M. 29. Lachendro F. 23. Mezghrani M. 5. Rosol M. 27. Szwoch M. 1. Szymanski J. (G) 6. Szyminski P.
Coaches
Poms R.	Fornalik W.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
7', 0 - 1, Szczepan D. ⚽, Szwedzik P. (A),
9', Szczepan D. 🟨,
13', 0 - 2, Szwedzik P. ⚽, Jendryka J. (A),
45', 0 - 3, Szwedzik P. ⚽, Szymanski S. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Kubik T. ↓, Welniak K. ↑,
46', Lysiak P. ↓, Krawczyk P. ↑,
69', Baranski B. 🟨,
76', 0 - 4, Jendryka J. ⚽, Ventura D. (A),
78', Preisler D. ↓, Karasinski S. ↑,
78', Szymanski S. ↓, Rosol M. ↑,
85', Nagamatsu S. ↓, Ceglarz P. ↑,
85', Szczepan D. ↓, Kolar M. ↑,
89', Jendryka J. ↓, Mezghrani M. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2 and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, GKS Tychy won 1.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Recently, Ruch Chorzów has had a series of home games.

Ruch Chorzów might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, GKS Tychy won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 20:15. (average 1.8:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, GKS Tychy won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:9. (average 2:1.5).

Outrights of Polish Division 1 for now

Tychy: 16.22% Ruch Chorzow: 4.51%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Ruch Chorzow	9	3	3	3	9:11	-2	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- GKS Tychy
Polish Division 1
03.05.26	Chrobry Głogów - GKS Tychy	3:2 ✺
26.04.26	Wieczysta Kraków - GKS Tychy	2:0 ✺
18.04.26	GKS Tychy - ŁKS Łódź	3:2 ✺
12.04.26	Pogoń Siedlce - GKS Tychy	0:1 ✺
04.04.26	GKS Tychy - Znicz Pruszków	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 LLWWL
- Ruch Chorzów
Polish Division 1
03.05.26	Ruch Chorzów - Odra Opole	2:0 ✺
27.04.26	Ruch Chorzów - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	2:2 ✺
19.04.26	Ruch Chorzów - Wisła Kraków	1:1 ✺
11.04.26	Ruch Chorzów - Wieczysta Kraków	0:2 ✺
06.04.26	Chrobry Głogów - Ruch Chorzów	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WTTLT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 1
31.10.25	Ruch Chorzów - GKS Tychy	2:1
06.04.25	Ruch Chorzów - GKS Tychy	0:1
16.09.24	GKS Tychy - Ruch Chorzów	0:1
03.06.23	Ruch Chorzów - GKS Tychy	1:0
Club Friendly
09.12.22	GKS Tychy - Ruch Chorzów	1:5
Polish Division 1
05.11.22	GKS Tychy - Ruch Chorzów	2:2
Club Friendly
30.01.21	GKS Tychy - Ruch Chorzów	2:1

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