Match Info

Division 1 - Round 6

Date: 30 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadion Chrobrego (Głogów)

Referee: Kaliszewski F. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	TVP Sport app, TVP Sport
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Chrobry Głogów		Ruch Chorzów

	1	X	2
	2.9	3.2	2.15
	2.95	3.30	2.15
	3	3.25	2.22
	3.19	3.49	2.26
	3.11	3.39	2.24	Watch
	3.1	3.3	2.2
	3.06	3.18	2.18
	2.9	3.2	2.17
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.03 ↑ (2.62)	3.29 ↑ (3.14)	2.2 ↓ (2.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chrobry Głogów
30.3%

Draw
27.9%

Ruch Chorzów
41.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.8%

28.2%

38%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.7%

27.5%

37%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chrobry Głogów has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Ruch Chorzów has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chrobry Głogów than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ruch Chorzów than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

Chrobry Głogów - Ruch Chorzów Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Bakowski K. (G) 80. Tabis K. 8. Gric J. 21. Kozajda M. 77. Bartolewski M. 16. Mandrysz R. 24. Grzelak K. 28. Lis J. 15. Staszak W. 7. Ibe-Torti K. 11. Strozik S.	44. Wrabel J. (G) 14. Wojcik F. 28. Lesniak-Paduch N. 17. Lukic A. 3. del Moral A. 5. Rosol M. 18. Nagamatsu S. 20. Szymanski S. (C) 27. Laskowski K. 9. Pawlowski M. 21. Szwedzik P.
Substitutes
5. Bak R. 33. Bukowski A. 6. Czajka B. 99. Feratovic A. 9. Ozimek M. 51. Rybak A. 17. Sadiku A. 72. Szablowski K. 1. Wroblewski K. (G)	82. Bielecki J. (G) 6. Chrapek M. 11. Cieslak S. 24. Komor A. 15. Konczkowski M. 7. Kristan J. 88. Rostek K. 95. Szczepan D. 2. Wachowiak K.
Coaches
Becella L.	Fornalik W.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
40', 1 - 0, Lis J. ⚽, Mandrysz R. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Szymanski S. ↓, Kristan J. ↑,
46', Pawlowski M. ↓, Szczepan D. ↑,
61', Laskowski K. ↓, Rostek K. ↑,
67', Nagamatsu S. ↓, Chrapek M. ↑,
72', Grzelak K. ↓, Bak R. ↑,
73', del Moral A. 🟨,
76', Bakowski K. 🟨,
81', Ibe-Torti K. ↓, Ozimek M. ↑,
81', Staszak W. ↓, Rybak A. ↑,
82', Rosol M. ↓, Cieslak S. ↑,
87', Tabis K. ↓, Czajka B. ↑,
90+4', 2 - 0, Strozik S. ⚽, Rybak A. (A),

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 10 and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chrobry won 0.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Ruch Chorzów may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Ruch Chorzów is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Chrobry won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:14. (average 1:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Chrobry won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 1:1.3).

Outrights of Polish Division 1 for now

Ruch Chorzow: 4.51% Chrobry Glogow: 0.41%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Chrobry Glogow	9	3	3	3	11:8	3	12
11	Ruch Chorzow	9	3	3	3	9:11	-2	12

Last Results with these Odds

Chrobry Głogów - the odds 2.62 are the expected chance of winning is 33.8%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chrobry Głogów
Polish Division 1
21.08.26	Chrobry Głogów - Warta Poznań	0:1 ✺
15.08.26	Chrobry Głogów - Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała	1:1 ✺
09.08.26	ŁKS Łódź - Chrobry Głogów	1:2 ✺
03.08.26	Chrobry Głogów - Odra Opole	0:1 ✺
25.07.26	Stal Rzeszów - Chrobry Głogów	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 LTWLW
- Ruch Chorzów
Polish Division 1
24.08.26	Stal Rzeszów - Ruch Chorzów	0:1 ✺
14.08.26	Ruch Chorzów - Lechia Gdańsk	1:0 ✺
07.08.26	Polonia Warsaw - Ruch Chorzów	1:1 ✺
02.08.26	Ruch Chorzów - Miedź Legnica	0:2 ✺
26.07.26	Termalica Nieciecza - Ruch Chorzów	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 1
06.04.26	Chrobry Głogów - Ruch Chorzów	1:1
22.09.25	Ruch Chorzów - Chrobry Głogów	2:1
19.05.25	Chrobry Głogów - Ruch Chorzów	2:2
07.11.24	Ruch Chorzów - Chrobry Głogów	5:0
11.02.23	Ruch Chorzów - Chrobry Głogów	1:0
23.07.22	Chrobry Głogów - Ruch Chorzów	0:2
26.11.17	Chrobry Głogów - Ruch Chorzów	1:0

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