Match Info

FRANCE: NATIONAL - ROUND 11

Date: 20 October 2023, Friday


	GOAL FC		Nancy

	1	X	2
	2.45	2.95	2.65
	2.55	3.1	2.75	Watch
	2.69	2.99	2.96
	2.7	2.96	2.98
	2.45	3	2.7
	2.49	3.08	2.82	Watch
	2.5	3	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.55 ↑ (2.07)	3.01 ↓ (3.16)	2.8 ↓ (3.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

GOAL FC
36.3%

Draw
30.7%

Nancy
33%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44%

28.8%

27.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.4%

27.9%

26.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

GOAL FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that GOAL FC's form might have worsened.

Nancy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nancy's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for GOAL FC than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for GOAL FC, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nancy than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nancy, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	26.1%	73.9%

GOAL FC - Nancy Predictions

Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Nancy will win (votes: 17 - 73.9%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 26.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nancy: 56% – 91.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Philippon A. (G) 17. Camelo L. 6. Dufau L. 14. Goncalves A. 3. Julloux A. 5. M'Dahoma K. 28. Meynadier T. 29. Raspentino F. 26. Socka Bongue L. 27. Suljic C. 23. Tanard N.	16. Sourzac M. (G) 6. Bouriaud T. 24. Bussmann G. 11. Camara M. 22. Delos S. 4. Diaby A. 15. Mendy P. 10. Nangis L. 21. Pellegrini L. 3. Tayot G. 9. Toure C.
Substitutes
22. Camara O. 8. Caumet R. 16. Drais E. (G) 11. Mambu J. 9. Rambaud T.	17. Carlier M. 23. Carnot L. 29. Cisse L. 30. Giagnorio M. (G) 7. Gomel B.

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 14 in the zone Relegation).

One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- GOAL FC
French Ligue 3
11.10.23	Villefranche - GOAL FC	2:1 ✺
06.10.23	GOAL FC - Châteauroux	1:1 ✺
29.09.23	Avranches - GOAL FC	1:1 ✺
22.09.23	GOAL FC - Le Mans	1:2 ✺
15.09.23	Rouen FC - GOAL FC	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LTTLL
- AS Nancy Lorraine
French Ligue 3
11.10.23	Nancy - Red Star	1:1 ✺
06.10.23	Orleans - Nancy	1:0 ✺
29.09.23	Nancy - Versailles	0:2 ✺
22.09.23	Nîmes - Nancy	1:0 ✺
18.09.23	Nancy - Dijon	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 TLLLW

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