Match Info

Ligue 2 - Round 6

Date: 19 September 2025, Friday

Location: Stade Marcel Picot (Nancy)

Referee: Abed K. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 6, Free


	Nancy		Red Star

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.1	3	Watch
	2.46	3.17	3.2
	30.00	11.24	1.03	Watch
	2.45	3.14	3.08	Watch
	2.35	3.25	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.92 ↑ (2.37)	4.78 ↑ (3.3)	2.66 ↓ (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nancy
17.8%

Draw
29.4%

Red Star
52.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.3%

28.9%

30.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41%

29.4%

30.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nancy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-22.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nancy's form might have worsened.

Red Star has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+22%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Red Star's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nancy than the current prediction. (+23.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nancy, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Red Star than the current prediction. (-22.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Red Star, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Nancy - Red Star Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Nancy will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Red Star will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nancy: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 3 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Nancy (1.69) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DC - Red Star (1.53) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.25 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Nancy (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Red Star (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Basilio E. (G) 4. Fernandez N. 14. Saint-Ruf N. (C) 12. Julloux A. 23. Bamba R. 17. Carlier M. 6. Bouriaud T. 19. Experience M. 8. Bouabdelli W. 20. Bokangu B. 7. Fdaouch Z.	16. Poussin G. (G) 22. Sylla D. 24. Lemonnier P. 3. Huard M. 81. Haag G. 20. Durivaux D. 11. Cisse K. 10. Khaoui S. E. 98. Hachem R. (C) 7. Durand D. 23. Ikanga J.
Substitutes
40. Kenzo N. (G) 27. Maouassa F. 21. Mendy E. 29. Ouotro P. 11. Sidibe O. 5. Suljic C. 26. Ztouti Z.	29. Benali H. 1. Beunardeau Q. (G) 91. Cabral K. 27. Danger B. 8. Eickmayer J. 4. Kayi Sanda J. 17. Renel S.
Coaches
Correa P.	Poirier G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
17', Basilio E. 🟥,
19', Bokangu B. ↓, Kenzo N. ↑,
26', Khaoui S. E. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Bamba R. ↓, Sidibe O. ↑,
46', Bouabdelli W. ↓, Ouotro P. ↑,
54', Sylla D. 🟨,
62', Khaoui S. E. ↓, Eickmayer J. ↑,
62', Sylla D. ↓, Benali H. ↑,
71', Fdaouch Z. ↓, Maouassa F. ↑,
74', Bouriaud T. 🟨,
76', Bouriaud T. ↓, Suljic C. ↑,
77', Suljic C. 🟨,
80', 0 - 1, Ikanga J. ⚽,
86', Durand D. ↓, Danger B. ↑,
90+3', Ikanga J. ↓, Kayi Sanda J. ↑,
90+7', Poussin G. 🟨,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nancy won 0.

Recent performances by Nancy have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Red Star is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Nancy: Camara B. (Inactive) Dabasse A. (Inactive) Sourzac M. (Inactive)

There will not play in Red Star: Danger B. (Inactive) Doucoure R. (Knee Injury) Eickmayer J. (Inactive) Escartin J. (Injury)

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Nancy won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 1:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Nancy won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 1.2:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Nancy Lorraine
French Ligue 2
12.09.25	Troyes - Nancy	3:0 ✺
29.08.25	Nancy - Pau	2:2 ✺
22.08.25	Dunkerque - Nancy	1:3 ✺
15.08.25	Nancy - Boulogne	1:0 ✺
09.08.25	Rodez - Nancy	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 LTWWT
- Red Star FC 93
French Ligue 2
12.09.25	Pau - Red Star	0:3 ✺
29.08.25	Red Star - Annecy	1:0 ✺
23.08.25	Guingamp - Red Star	0:4 ✺
15.08.25	Red Star - Amiens	1:3 ✺
09.08.25	Montpellier - Red Star	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.1 WWWLT

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 3
22.03.24	Red Star - Nancy	1:1
11.10.23	Nancy - Red Star	1:1
17.04.23	Nancy - Red Star	1:4
25.11.22	Red Star - Nancy	1:0
French Ligue 2
19.04.19	Red Star - Nancy	1:1
23.11.18	Nancy - Red Star	1:0
French Coupe de la Ligue
14.08.18	Nancy - Red Star	1:0

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