Match Info

WWIN Liga BiH - Round 30

Date: 11 May 2025, Sunday

Location: Perica Pero Pavlovic (Gabela)

Referee: Sivac E. (Bih)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1


	GOŠK Gabela		Posušje

	1	X	2
	7.75	4.75	1.3
	7.33	5.57	1.26
	8.97	5.22	1.27	Watch
	9.89	4.62	1.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.49 ↑ (6.53)	5.04 ↑ (3.6)	1.29 ↓ (1.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

GOŠK Gabela
10.8%

Draw
18.2%

Posušje
71%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.9%

25.2%

60.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.6%

24.7%

62.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

GOŠK Gabela has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Posušje has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Posušje's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for GOŠK Gabela than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Posušje than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Posušje, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	11.1%	66.7%

GOŠK Gabela - Posušje Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. GOŠK will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Posušje will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Posušje: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.25 - GOŠK (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Posušje will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. GOŠK (votes: 1 - 20%). Posušje (votes: 4 - 80%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Prslja L. (G) 9. Ankovic L. 3. Coko G. 81. Kozina M. 23. Kresic M. 16. Milicevic J. 20. Sadikovic A. 21. Salcin D. 25. Sesar K. 6. Suta R. (C) 7. Zlibanovic M.	1. Soldo A. (G) 2. Abrego F. 20. Beslic J. 99. Boban G. (C) 47. Culjak F. 27. Hanuljak M. 18. Joao Erick 96. Kobiljar R. 19. Maric I. 33. Pavkovic D. 15. Stapic K.
Substitutes
18. Bosnjak P. 5. Halilovic D. 10. Kacunko A. 32. Kolak V. (G) 33. Medic D. 11. Novakovic I. 70. Peric K. 15. Peric N. 88. Rados J. 22. Velinovski K.	22. Begic Z. 57. Belancic M. 11. Camber D. 16. Curdo B. 12. Galic M. (G) 97. Miocic N. 70. Mrkonjic T. 7. Mujan T. 30. Mulalic E. 13. Siric D. 9. Zivkovic A.
Coaches
Borovac D.	Maksimovic M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
10', Kozina M. ↓, Halilovic D. ↑,
11', Zlibanovic M. 🟨,
27', 0 - 1, Coko G. (Own goal),
38', 0 - 2, Kobiljar R. ⚽, Boban G. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Hanuljak M. ↓, Begic Z. ↑,
46', Pavkovic D. ↓, Camber D. ↑,
46', Zlibanovic M. ↓, Peric K. ↑,
46', Sadikovic A. ↓, Kacunko A. ↑,
46', Ankovic L. ↓, Velinovski K. ↑,
51', Halilovic D. 🟨,
56', Beslic J. 🟨,
64', 1 - 2, Peric K. ⚽, Coko G. (A),
73', Culjak F. ↓, Curdo B. ↑,
79', Camber D. 🟨,
81', Sesar K. ↓, Novakovic I. ↑,
86', Boban G. 🟨,

Preview

GOŠK is Relegated to

GOŠK has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Posušje has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Posušje may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Posušje is the clear favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, GOŠK won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 0.6:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, GOŠK won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- GOŠK Gabela
Bosnian Premier League
04.05.25	Radnik Bijeljina - GOŠK Gabela	5:0 ✺
27.04.25	GOŠK Gabela - Velež Mostar	0:1 ✺
23.04.25	Široki Brijeg - GOŠK Gabela	2:0 ✺
18.04.25	GOŠK Gabela - Sloga Doboj	1:2 ✺
12.04.25	Željezničar Sarajevo - GOŠK Gabela	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- HŠK Posušje
Bosnian Premier League
02.05.25	Posušje - Igman Konjic	2:1 ✺
26.04.25	Sloboda Tuzla - Posušje	1:1 ✺
22.04.25	Radnik Bijeljina - Posušje	2:1 ✺
17.04.25	Posušje - Velež Mostar	2:0 ✺
12.04.25	Široki Brijeg - Posušje	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WTLWT

Latest Head to Head

Bosnian Premier League
30.11.24	Posušje - GOŠK Gabela	1:2
26.08.24	GOŠK Gabela - Posušje	0:1
30.03.24	GOŠK Gabela - Posušje	0:1
09.03.24	GOŠK Gabela - Posušje	1:1
21.10.23	Posušje - GOŠK Gabela	0:0

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