Match Info

Copa Pacena - Round 1

Date: 2 September 2026, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Jesús Bermúdez (Oruro)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bolivia	Entel Gol 56


	GVCD San José		Bolívar

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.33	4.10	1.55
	4.50	4.25	1.50	Watch
	4.72	4.30	1.59
	5.37	4.62	1.5	Watch
	4.70	4.15	1.48
	4.37	4.51	1.62	Watch
	4.40	4.30	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.63 ↓ (4.7)	4.32 ↑ (4.19)	1.54 ↓ (1.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 0.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

GVCD San José
19.7%

Draw
21.1%

Bolívar
59.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.8%

22.2%

58.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19%

21.4%

60.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

GVCD San José has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Bolívar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for GVCD San José than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bolívar than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

GVCD San José - Bolívar Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. GVCD San José (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (1.34) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
66. Akologo D. (G) 2. Ramallo J. 33. Landa A. 36. Justiniano G. 19. Villarroel S. 8. Orihuela R. 5. Aviles M. 38. Vargas L. 11. Matheus Moresche 9. Monteiro R. 7. Caceres A. (C)	1. Lampe C. (G) 8. Paz L. 33. Mena F. 3. Arreaga X. 4. Sagredo J. 7. Velasquez J. 23. Justiniano L. (C) 6. Vaca Moreno E. 10. Arce B. 11. Miranda B. 9. Cauteruccio M.
Substitutes
13. Arauz G. (G) 14. Calero D. 37. Cruz Valverde L. R. 10. Ferrufino R. 29. Galindo S. 55. Goyeneche J. 32. Mendieta F. 31. Pavisic A. 18. Pinto S. 35. Ribera C. 21. Valdez S.	27. Asprilla D. 22. Ayhuana A. 99. Batallini D. 18. Chavez Cruz L. L. 5. Echeverria S. 35. Freita E. 19. Garcia J. 13. Mendez D. (G) 77. Romero D. 2. Sagredo J. 20. Sejas C. 16. Zabala L.
Coaches
Viviani Ribera H.	Restrepo A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
30', Justiniano L. 🟥,
30', Sagredo J. 🟨,
35', Ramallo J. 🟨,
43', Villarroel S. 🟨,
45+6', Landa A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Orihuela R. ↓, Ferrufino R. ↑,
50', Villarroel S. 🟨,
59', Monteiro R. ↓, Galindo S. ↑,
66', Cauteruccio M. ↓, Asprilla D. ↑,
66', Paz L. ↓, Batallini D. ↑,
66', Arce B. ↓, Sejas C. ↑,
67', Matheus Moresche ↓, Goyeneche J. ↑,
67', Vargas L. ↓, Ribera C. ↑,
69', 0 - 1, Batallini D. (Penalty Awarded),
79', Aviles M. ↓, Calero D. ↑,
80', Velasquez J. ↓, Garcia J. ↑,
85', Miranda B. ↓, Sagredo J. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, GVCD San José won 1.

In recent matches, GVCD San José has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Bolívar is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Bolívar may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Bolívar is the team to beat.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, GVCD San José won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 12:24. (average 1.3:2.7).

Including home matches between the teams, GVCD San José won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 1.4:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- GVCD San José
Bolivian Copa Pacena
29.08.26	GVCD San José - Real Oruro	4:1 ✺
Bolivian Division Profesional
25.08.26	GVCD San José - Oriente Petrolero	3:3 ✺
22.08.26	ABB - GVCD San José	2:2 ✺
16.08.26	Independiente Petroleros - GVCD San José	1:0 ✺
05.08.26	GVCD San José - San Antonio Bulo Bulo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WTTLT
- Bolívar La Paz
Bolivian Copa Pacena
30.08.26	Bolívar - The Strongest	4:2 ✺
Bolivian Division Profesional
27.08.26	Bolívar - ABB	4:1 ✺
23.08.26	Real Oruro - Bolívar	2:4 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
18.08.26	São Paulo - Bolívar	3:1 ✺
Bolivian Division Profesional
14.08.26	Bolívar - San Antonio Bulo Bulo	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Bolivian Division Profesional
03.05.26	GVCD San José - Bolívar	1:2
28.09.25	GVCD San José - Bolívar	0:2
08.06.25	Bolívar - GVCD San José	1:3
Bolivian Torneo Amistoso de Verano
22.02.25	Bolívar - GVCD San José	7:1
16.02.25	GVCD San José - Bolívar	1:2
Bolivian Division Profesional
27.11.24	GVCD San José - Bolívar	3:2
31.07.24	Bolívar - GVCD San José	4:0

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