The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Blooming 71%
Draw 16%
Real Oruro 13%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
66.7%
18.5%
14.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
52.9%
14.7%
18.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Blooming has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)
Real Oruro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Blooming than the current prediction. (-18.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Blooming that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Oruro than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Real Oruro could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Blooming - Real Oruro Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
71. Almada G. (G) 18. Gonzales J. 28. Alvarez E. 22. Vila J. 75. Ocampo M. 6. Spenhay R. 8. Villarroel M. (C) 7. Villarroel M. 10. Hinojosa R. 88. Centella G. 29. Garces J.
1. Arancibia A. (G) 15. Castellon D. 5. Corulo L. (C) 23. Villegas Y. 31. Balceras Cuellar R. J. 26. Tifner H. 6. Rivera A. 37. Velez J. 9. Pinto D. 19. Vallejos Y. 50. Montenegro J.
Substitutes
13. Camacho J. (G) 27. Chavez L. 79. Cuasace G. 77. Espinoza S. 76. Herera Buceta M. 24. Justiniano E. 20. Loza P. 25. Melgar R. 11. Menacho C. 82. Miranda J. 33. Oliveros A. 80. Pacheco D.
65. Bravo Adan A. F. 16. Chore C. 55. Garcia S. 33. Gatti F. 32. Mendez R. 13. Pena I. (G) 10. Quinonez A. 22. Rivera E. 40. Vargas F.
Coaches
Gutierrez R.
Colinas N.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Castellon D. ↓, Gatti F. ↑,
64', Villarroel M. ↓, Cuasace G. ↑,
68', 0 - 1, Pinto D. ⚽, Velez J. (A),
73', Spenhay R. ↓, Menacho C. ↑,
77', Pinto D. ↓, Chore C. ↑,
80', Gatti F. 🟨,
82', Balceras Cuellar R. J. 🟨,
84', Hinojosa R. ↓, Herera Buceta M. ↑,
85', Montenegro J. ↓, Quinonez A. ↑,
85', Corulo L. 🟨,
89', 1 - 1, Cuasace G. ⚽, Herera Buceta M. (A),
90', Rivera A. 🟥,
90', Tifner H. ↓, Rivera E. ↑,
Preview
Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 and 12).
Recent performances by Blooming have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Real Oruro's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
In this match, Blooming is the clear favorite.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Blooming won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:17. (average 2.2:3.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Blooming won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 3:1.5).