Match Info

AZERBAIJAN: I Liqa - Round 7

Date: 7 November 2024, Thursday

Location: Qäbälä Şähär Stadionu (Gabala)


	Gabala		MOIK Baku

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.29	4.7	9	Watch
	1.33	3.97	6.62
	1.3	4.33	8
	1.28	4.75	9.25
	1.29	4.7	9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.3 ↓ (1.59)	4.49 ↑ (3.8)	8.37 ↑ (4.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gabala
69.2%

Draw
20%

MOIK Baku
10.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.2%

23.9%

18.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.5%

22.2%

17.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gabala has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gabala's performance.

MOIK Baku has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and MOIK Baku might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gabala than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gabala that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for MOIK Baku than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that MOIK Baku could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Gabala - MOIK Baku Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Gabala will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (3 - 0)
49', 1 - 0, Tagiyev E. ⚽,
64', 2 - 0, Shuaibu A. ⚽,
76', 3 - 0, Tagiyev E. ⚽,
87', Humbatov R. 🟥,

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 2 and 7).

Gabala in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches MOIK is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Gabala could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Gabala have a series of home games.

In this match Gabala is certain favorite.

Our prediction for today's Gabala to win the game is with odds 1.31.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Gabala won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Gabala
Azerbaijan Cup
31.10.24	Gabala - Baku Sporting	4:0 ✺
Azerbaijan First Division
26.10.24	Gabala - İmişli	0:0 ✺
19.10.24	Gabala - Difai Ağsu	1:0 ✺
04.10.24	Baku Sporting - Gabala	0:2 ✺
26.09.24	Gabala - Mingachevir	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WTWWW
- MOIK Baku
Azerbaijan First Division
24.10.24	MOIK Baku - Karvan	2:3 ✺
18.10.24	Cəbrayıl - MOIK Baku	0:1 ✺
03.10.24	İmişli - MOIK Baku	3:0 ✺
25.09.24	MOIK Baku - Difai Ağsu	2:2 ✺
19.09.24	Baku Sporting - MOIK Baku	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LWLTT

Latest Head to Head

Azerbaijan Cup
10.12.21	MOIK Baku - Gabala	1:2

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