Match Info

I Liqa - Round 20

Date: 4 April 2025, Friday


	İmişli		MOIK Baku

	1	X	2
				Watch
				Watch
	1.42	4	6.91
	1.5	3.75	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↓ (1.51)	3.88 ↑ (3.8)	6.26 ↑ (5.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

İmişli
62.1%

Draw
23.4%

MOIK Baku
14.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.2%

23.9%

15.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.6%

23%

15.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

İmişli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

MOIK Baku has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for İmişli than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for MOIK Baku than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

İmişli - MOIK Baku Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
57', 1 - 0, Babaev S. ⚽,
84', 2 - 0, Adekunle T. ⚽,
90+1', 2 - 1, Aliyev I. (Pen),

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches İmişli won 2.

İmişli is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

MOIK is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

MOIK could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently MOIK have a series of home games.

In this match İmişli is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches İmişli won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 9:10 (average 1.5:1.7).

Including matches at home between the teams İmişli won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:3 (average 1.7:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- İmişli FK
Azerbaijan First Division
28.03.25	İmişli - Cəbrayıl	2:0 ✺
12.03.25	Baku Sporting - İmişli	2:2 ✺
07.03.25	İmişli - Mingachevir	0:1 ✺
28.02.25	Qaradağ Lökbatan - İmişli	0:1 ✺
19.02.25	İmişli - Zagatala	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WTLWW
- MOIK Baku
Azerbaijan First Division
27.03.25	MOIK Baku - Difai Ağsu	1:3 ✺
14.03.25	Mingachevir - MOIK Baku	1:0 ✺
06.03.25	MOIK Baku - Qaradağ Lökbatan	2:2 ✺
28.02.25	MOIK Baku - Zagatala	0:0 ✺
19.02.25	MOIK Baku - Gabala	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Azerbaijan First Division
30.01.25	MOIK Baku - İmişli	4:3
03.10.24	İmişli - MOIK Baku	3:0
22.05.24	MOIK Baku - İmişli	2:1
07.12.23	İmişli - MOIK Baku	2:1
20.09.23	MOIK Baku - İmişli	1:0
21.02.23	İmişli - MOIK Baku	0:2

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