Match Info

Premier League - Round 6

Date: 18 September 2026, Friday

Location: Qäbälä Şähär Stadionu (Gabala)

Where to Watch on TV:


Azerbaijan	CBC Sport


	Gabala		Neftchi Baku

	1	X	2
	5.50	4.10	1.44
	5.90	4.25	1.40	Watch
	5.20	4.74	1.49
	6	3.98	1.49	Watch
	5.05	4.65	1.47
	6.69	4.25	1.38
	5.40	4.30	1.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.68 ↑ (5.26)	4.32 ↑ (3.7)	1.45 ↓ (1.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Gabala
16%

Draw
21.1%

Neftchi Baku
62.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.2%

24.5%

58.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.6%

23.6%

60.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gabala has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Neftchi Baku has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gabala than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Neftchi Baku than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Gabala - Neftchi Baku Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Neftchi will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Agayev S. (C) 27. Ahmadov E. 16. Amoah I. 7. Bruno Silva 4. Camalov E. 12. Mabea K. 5. Monzango N. 9. Rossi K. 10. Shahniyarov S. 6. Sierra J. 80. Ubochioma M.	1. Balayev E. (G) 3. Abbasov R. 33. Breno Almeida 55. Gravillon A. 5. Igor Ribeiro 8. Mahmudov E. (C) 77. Sacko F. 27. Savic D. 88. Sevelj V. 11. Skribek A. 10. Vargas F.
Substitutes
81. Agayev S. 24. Akinade I. 13. Aliyev N. 32. Arthur (G) 74. Damadayev S. 3. Edson Eduardo 30. Huseynov C. 22. Iskandarov F. 19. Mammadli K. 11. Mammadov A. 66. Rashidov N. 21. Shakarkhanov Z.	26. Akinyemi A. 91. Azizov N. (G) 14. Badalov E. 93. Cafarov R. (G) 20. Gustavo Klismahn 22. Jubitana D. 17. Khachayev M. 18. Mathew I. 7. Safarov E. 97. Sambou B. 24. Seck M. 29. Tupta L.
Coaches
Agacanov A.	Vernydub Y.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
25', 0 - 1, Breno Almeida ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Mahmudov E. ↓, Gustavo Klismahn ↑,
46', Ahmadov E. ↓, Akinade I. ↑,
46', Savic D. ↓, Tupta L. ↑,
54', Sevelj V. 🟨,
65', Skribek A. 🟨,
66', Sevelj V. ↓, Mathew I. ↑,
66', Vargas F. ↓, Akinyemi A. ↑,
67', Shahniyarov S. ↓, Shakarkhanov Z. ↑,
77', Abbasov R. 🟨,
77', Mabea K. ↓, Aliyev N. ↑,
80', Breno Almeida ↓, Sambou B. ↑,
86', 0 - 2, Akinyemi A. ⚽,
90+2', 0 - 3, Tupta L. ⚽,

Preview

An intriguing matchup between a mid-ranked team and a top contender (ranked 8th and 2nd in the Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gabala won 0.

Recent results have been tough for Gabala (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Neftchi is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

The betting markets point to Neftchi as the clear and undisputed favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Gabala has recorded 3 wins, 5 draws, and 12 losses, with a goal aggregate of 14:34 (averaging 0.7:1.7 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Gabala against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 3 draws, and 6 losses, with 7:17 goals (averaging 0.7:1.7 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Neftci Baku	6	5	0	1	18:5	13	15
8	Gabala	6	1	1	4	2:7	-5	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Gabala
Azerbaijan Premier League
12.09.26	Kapaz - Gabala	1:0 ✺
04.09.26	Gabala - İmişli	2:1 ✺
29.08.26	Gabala - Shamakhi	0:0 ✺
22.08.26	Gabala - Şəfa	0:1 ✺
14.08.26	Turan Tovuz - Gabala	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 LWTLL
- Neftchi Baku
Azerbaijan Premier League
11.09.26	İmişli - Neftchi Baku	2:3 ✺
05.09.26	Neftchi Baku - Şəfa	4:1 ✺
30.08.26	Zira - Neftchi Baku	1:0 ✺
23.08.26	Neftchi Baku - Araz Naxçıvan	5:0 ✺
16.08.26	Sumgayit - Neftchi Baku	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Azerbaijan Premier League
15.03.26	Gabala - Neftchi Baku	1:3
10.02.26	Neftchi Baku - Gabala	1:0
26.10.25	Gabala - Neftchi Baku	0:2
29.03.24	Gabala - Neftchi Baku	0:1
28.01.24	Neftchi Baku - Gabala	3:1
05.11.23	Gabala - Neftchi Baku	0:2
27.08.23	Neftchi Baku - Gabala	2:0

Upcoming Matches