Match Info

Premier League - Round 2

Date: 23 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Palms Sports Arena (Baku)

Referee: Ahmadov R. (Aze)

Where to Watch on TV:


Azerbaijan	CBC Sport
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Neftchi Baku		Araz Naxçıvan

	1	X	2
	1.49	3.90	5.25
	1.47	3.70	5.25	Watch
	1.55	4.15	5.62
	1.48	4.12	5.94	Watch
	1.50	4.05	5.60
	1.45	4.00	6.09
	1.49	4.00	5.60
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.61)	3.99 ↑ (3.82)	5.62 ↑ (4.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Neftchi Baku
61%

Draw
22.8%

Araz Naxçıvan
16.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.2%

24.1%

18.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Neftchi Baku has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Araz Naxçıvan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Neftchi Baku - Araz Naxçıvan Predictions

Users Predictions: Neftchi Baku will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Balayev E. (G) 3. Abbasov R. 14. Badalov E. 33. Breno Almeida 5. Igor Ribeiro 8. Mahmudov E. (C) 18. Mathew I. 77. Sacko F. 7. Safarov E. 29. Tupta L. 10. Vargas F.	1. Augusto A. (G) 8. Ahmadzada M. 6. Andrade P. (C) 12. Bruno Franco 5. Dumancic L. 36. Kane M. 11. Mara M. 29. Nuriyev C. 17. Paro I. 2. Rzayev A. 19. Sudi A.
Substitutes
93. Cafarov R. (G) 4. Camalov E. 6. D'Almeida S. 55. Gravillon A. 20. Gustavo Klismahn 81. Hasanov M. (G) 17. Khachayev M. 82. Mammadli M. 27. Savic D. 24. Seck M. 80. Shirinov A. 11. Skribek A.	99. Ahmadli T. (G) 13. Alizada Q. 10. Boli C. 26. Buludov O. 23. Fernandez A. 22. Hasanov R. 14. Isgandarov U. 27. Letic B. 77. Mehraliyev N. 21. Piriyev I. 9. Salyanskiy A.
Coaches
Vernidub Y.	Ismayilov Z.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (4 - 0)
4', Kane M. 🟨,
14', 1 - 0, Breno Almeida ⚽,
17', 2 - 0, Breno Almeida ⚽,
35', 3 - 0, Sacko F. ⚽,
41', 4 - 0, Igor Ribeiro ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Sudi A. ↓, Isgandarov U. ↑,
46', Kane M. ↓, Fernandez A. ↑,
46', Bruno Franco ↓, Letic B. ↑,
57', Vargas F. ↓, Skribek A. ↑,
57', Mahmudov E. ↓, Gustavo Klismahn ↑,
76', Mathew I. ↓, Gravillon A. ↑,
76', Safarov E. ↓, Savic D. ↑,
86', Skribek A. 🟨,
86', Gravillon A. 🟨,
90+1', 5 - 0, Gravillon A. ⚽,
90+3', Isgandarov U. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Neftchi won 2.

Recent performances by Neftchi have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Neftchi may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Neftchi is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Neftchi won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 15:14. (average 1.3:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Neftchi won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:6. (average 1.5:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Neftci Baku	6	5	0	1	18:5	13	15
12	Araz	6	0	2	4	5:13	-8	2

Last Results with these Odds

Neftchi Baku - the odds 1.61 are the expected chance of winning is 57.19%, but this team recently wins 88% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Neftchi Baku
Azerbaijan Premier League
16.08.26	Sumgayit - Neftchi Baku	1:3 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
30.07.26	Dinamo Minsk - Neftchi Baku	0:1 ✺
22.07.26	Neftchi Baku - Dinamo Minsk	2:4 ✺
Club Friendly
13.07.26	Neftchi Baku - Osijek	0:1 ✺
10.07.26	Radnički Niš - Neftchi Baku	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WWLLW
- Araz Naxçıvan PFK
Azerbaijan Premier League
15.08.26	Araz Naxçıvan - İmişli	0:0 ✺
23.05.26	Araz Naxçıvan - Zira	3:2 ✺
15.05.26	Araz Naxçıvan - Kapaz	2:0 ✺
09.05.26	Sumgayit - Araz Naxçıvan	2:1 ✺
02.05.26	Araz Naxçıvan - İmişli	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 TWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Azerbaijan Premier League
11.04.26	Neftchi Baku - Araz Naxçıvan	2:1
01.02.26	Araz Naxçıvan - Neftchi Baku	0:4
19.10.25	Neftchi Baku - Araz Naxçıvan	2:2
29.03.25	Neftchi Baku - Araz Naxçıvan	1:1
26.01.25	Araz Naxçıvan - Neftchi Baku	2:1
01.11.24	Neftchi Baku - Araz Naxçıvan	0:1
24.08.24	Araz Naxçıvan - Neftchi Baku	1:1

Neftchi Baku - Araz Naxçıvan: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide