Match Info

Premier League - Round 28

Date: 19 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Mehdi Huseynzade Stadium (Sumqayit)

Referee: Hasanli V. (Aze)

Where to Watch on TV:


Azerbaijan	CBC Sport


	Sumgayit		Gabala

	1	X	2
	2.12	2.98	3.25	Watch
	2.23	3.15	3.47
	2.18	3.09	3.29	Watch
	2.15	2.9	3.3
	2.18	3.33	3.22	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↓ (2.2)	3.09 ↑ (3.05)	3.31 ↑ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sumgayit
42.4%

Draw
29.8%

Gabala
27.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.7%

29.4%

29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.2%

28.4%

28.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sumgayit has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Gabala has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sumgayit than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gabala than the current prediction. (+1%)

Sumgayit - Gabala Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Farzullayev K. (C) 7. Ahmadzada R. 6. Badolo C. 3. Haqverdi H. 11. Jankovic A. 80. Keffel 71. Murata M. 10. Ninkovic N. 75. Orujov N. 72. Senhadji R. 23. Vasquez R.	1. Agayev S. (G) 27. Ahmadov E. 24. Akinade I. 13. Aliyev N. 50. Ba Loua A. 3. Eduardo Kunde 33. Keita S. 14. Massoumou D. J. 28. Musayev M. (C) 30. Owusu P. 6. Sierra J.
Substitutes
8. Abdullazada S. 12. Agamaliyev M. (G) 21. Ahmadzada N. 1. Cannatov M. (G) 25. Moumini A. 24. Muradly S. 29. Mustafaev E. 97. Pashayev V. 9. Ramalingom A.	93. Cafarov R. (G) 74. Damadayev S. 22. Iskandarov F. 11. Mammadov A. 66. Rashidov N. 12. Sangare I. 10. Shahniyarov S.
Coaches
Ilic S.	Tskhadadze K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
19', 1 - 0, Haqverdi H. ⚽,
28', Ba Loua A. 🟨,
31', Ahmadzada R. 🟨,
33', Ninkovic N. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Keffel ↓, Pashayev V. ↑,
66', 🟨,
66', Vasquez R. ↓, Ramalingom A. ↑,
66', Ninkovic N. ↓, Abdullazada S. ↑,
73', Badolo C. ↓, Mustafaev E. ↑,
75', Aliyev N. ↓, Sangare I. ↑,
80', Orujov N. ↓, Ahmadzada N. ↑,
81', Massoumou D. J. ↓, Rashidov N. ↑,
84', Keita S. ↓, Shahniyarov S. ↑,
90+4', Sierra J. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sumgayit won 3.

Sumgayit is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Gabala is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sumgayit won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 16:20. (average 0.8:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Sumgayit won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:10. (average 0.6:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Gabala	6	1	1	4	2:7	-5	4

Last Results with these Odds

Sumgayit - the odds 2.2 are the expected chance of winning is 40.74%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sumgayit FK
Azerbaijan Premier League
12.04.26	Turan Tovuz - Sumgayit	2:1 ✺
05.04.26	Sumgayit - Neftchi Baku	1:3 ✺
19.03.26	Sabah - Sumgayit	3:1 ✺
13.03.26	Sumgayit - Shamakhi	0:1 ✺
07.03.26	Karvan - Sumgayit	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLT
- FK Gabala
Azerbaijan Premier League
12.04.26	Gabala - İmişli	0:1 ✺
05.04.26	Kapaz - Gabala	0:2 ✺
21.03.26	Turan Tovuz - Gabala	3:2 ✺
15.03.26	Gabala - Neftchi Baku	1:3 ✺
10.03.26	Sabah - Gabala	7:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Azerbaijan Premier League
20.02.26	Sumgayit - Gabala	0:0
07.11.25	Gabala - Sumgayit	0:2
25.05.24	Sumgayit - Gabala	1:0
23.01.24	Gabala - Sumgayit	0:1
29.10.23	Sumgayit - Gabala	0:0
19.08.23	Gabala - Sumgayit	1:2
23.04.23	Sumgayit - Gabala	2:3

Sumgayit - Gabala: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide