Match Info

Champions League - League phase - Round 1

Date: 10 September 2026, Thursday

Location: Old Trafford (Manchester)

Referee: Delajod W. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Manchester United		Sabah

	1	X	2
	1.05	13.00	29.00
	1.09	13.50	23.00
	1.07	13.00	26.00
	1.09	14.00	33.50
	1.11	11.29	26.39	Watch
	1.15	6.53	23.57
	1.05	13.00	27.00
	1.07	15.00	35.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.09 ↓ (1.16)	12.42 ↑ (7.59)	27.93 ↑ (17.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.25

The best margin for this event is 1.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Manchester United
88.8%

Draw
7.8%

Sabah
3.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

82.1%

12.5%

5.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Manchester United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Manchester United's performance.

Sabah has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	10%	2.5%

Manchester United - Sabah Predictions

Users Predictions: 40 users predict this event. Man Utd will win (votes: 35 - 87.5%). Sabah will win (votes: 1 - 2.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Man Utd: 77.3% – 97.7%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2.25 - Man Utd (1.64) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 3.75 - over (1.67) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (2.06) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (1.61) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +3.5 - Sabah (1.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

New Consensus by Tipsters:

HT/FT - Man Utd - Man Utd (1.44) (votes: 100%) ⭐ Best Value.

BTTS - yes (2.00) (votes: 85%) ⭐ Best Value.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Manchester United will win (11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 16 Selected Experts predict this event. Man Utd (votes: 14 - 87.5%). Sabah (votes: 1 - 6.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 6.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lammens S. (G) 3. Mazraoui N. 15. Yoro L. 6. Martinez Li. 13. Dorgu P. 18. Tielemans Y. 37. Mainoo K. 19. Mbeumo B. 8. Fernandes B. (C) 10. Cunha M. 30. Sesko B.	92. Pokatilov S. (C) 80. Zedadka A. 5. Dashdamirov R. 4. McCarthy A. 27. Puchacz T. 7. Rakhmonaliyev U. 13. Lepinjica I. 11. Parris K. 21. Simic V. 8. Nwachukwu C. 20. Mickels J.
Substitutes
41. Amass H. 17. Andrey Santos 2. Dalot D. 12. Darlow K. (G) 39. Fletcher T. 26. Heaven A. 31. Lacey S. 5. Maguire H. 45. Mee D. (G) 7. Mount M. 9. Rashford M. 11. Zirkzee J.	37. Du Queiroz 88. Fernandes R. 10. Isayev A. 33. Junior Almeida 6. Khaybulaev A. 99. Mbina O. 94. Mirzammadov R. (G) 89. Mukhtarov C. 17. Mutallimov T. 1. Ramazanov A. (G) 16. Rustamli R.
Coaches
Carrick M.	Dambrauskas V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
27', 1 - 0, Cunha M. ⚽, Dorgu P. (A),
42', 2 - 0, Fernandes B. ⚽, Tielemans Y. (A),
45', 3 - 0, Sesko B. ⚽, Mbeumo B. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Nwachukwu C. ↓, Mbina O. ↑,
46', Tielemans Y. ↓, Mount M. ↑,
62', Dorgu P. 🟨,
63', Parris K. ↓, Isayev A. ↑,
64', Sesko B. ↓, Zirkzee J. ↑,
64', Mainoo K. ↓, Andrey Santos ↑,
67', Lepinjica I. 🟨,
68', 4 - 0, Martinez Li. ⚽,
71', Rakhmonaliyev U. ↓, Khaybulaev A. ↑,
72', Dorgu P. ↓, Amass H. ↑,
72', Mbeumo B. ↓, Lacey S. ↑,
75', Zedadka A. ↓, Junior Almeida ↑,
76', Simic V. ↓, Du Queiroz ↑,

Preview

Recent performances by Man Utd have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Sabah is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, Man Utd is the obvious favorite.

There will not play in Man Utd: Heaton T. (Injury) Ugarte M. (Knee Injury) de Ligt M. (Back Injury)

There will not play in Sabah: Aliyev K. (Hamstring Injury)

There are questionable in Man Utd: Baleba C. (Ankle Injury) Diallo A. (Injury)

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Outrights of UEFA Champions League for now

Sabah Baku: 0.2%

Standings

League phase

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Manchester Utd	1	1	0	0	4:0	4	3
34	Sabah Baku	1	0	0	1	0:4	-4	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Manchester United
English Premier League
06.09.26	Everton - Manchester United	2:2 ✺
30.08.26	Manchester United - Ipswich Town	5:2 ✺
22.08.26	Hull City - Manchester United	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
15.08.26	Manchester United - Milan	2:4 ✺
12.08.26	Manchester United - Leeds United	2:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 TWLLW
- Sabah Baku FK
Azerbaijan Premier League
05.09.26	Sabah - Zira	5:0 ✺
31.08.26	Araz Naxçıvan - Sabah	0:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
25.08.26	Sabah - Hapoel Beer Sheva	5:2 AET ✺
19.08.26	Hapoel Beer Sheva - Sabah	2:1 ✺
Azerbaijan Premier League
15.08.26	Sabah - Kapaz	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWWLW

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