The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+
Current Win Probability
Gagra 24.7%
Draw 29.9%
Rustavi 45.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
29.8%
30.8%
39.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
30.6%
31.6%
38.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gagra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gagra's form might have worsened.
Rustavi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rustavi's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gagra than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gagra, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rustavi than the current prediction. (-7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Rustavi, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Gagra - Rustavi Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
#ad
Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Vorobey O. (G) 23. Andreychuk A. 18. Bliznichenko V. 7. Borges P. 40. Claudinei 30. Goshteliani G. 5. Nazarov Y. 8. Skrypnyk I. 14. Tchavtchanidze Z. 6. Tsintsadze M. (C) 25. Wanderson
35. Roland J. (G) 2. Andghuladze S. 19. Chikovani N. 4. David Oliveira 13. Gujabidze A. (C) 9. Jean 11. Kessi S. 22. Nakano Y. 10. Osei P. 3. Patsatsia V. 40. Ubilava D.
Substitutes
3. Chochia O. 35. Dmitrievich A. (G) 33. Gurchiani L. 10. Kekelidze L. 19. Khachidze G. 9. Mujiri D. 21. Peikrishvili A. 22. Sadghobelashvili G. 17. Vinicius Cesar
21. Beruashvili P. (G) 5. Ceijas K. 23. Gambos M. 24. Iakobidze I. 7. Jackson Kenio 18. Japaridze N. 8. Kakashvili K. 27. Kapanadze M. 20. Parkadze L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
8', Skrypnyk I. 🟨,
14', 1 - 0, Nazarov Y. ⚽,
21', Andreychuk A. 🟨,
27', Chikovani N. 🟨,
30', 2 - 0, Wanderson (Penalty Awarded),
36', Nazarov Y. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Gujabidze A. ↓, Jackson Kenio ↑,
52', David Oliveira 🟨,
59', Goshteliani G. ↓, Peikrishvili A. ↑,
59', Andreychuk A. ↓, Mujiri D. ↑,
65', Chikovani N. ↓, Kapanadze M. ↑,
72', Nakano Y. ↓, Parkadze L. ↑,
78', Ubilava D. ↓, Ceijas K. ↑,
78', Patsatsia V. ↓, Iakobidze I. ↑,
80', Nazarov Y. 🟥,
81', Skrypnyk I. ↓, Chochia O. ↑,
81', Borges P. ↓, Khachidze G. ↑,
84', 2 - 1, Parkadze L. ⚽,
90+3', Bliznichenko V. ↓, Sadghobelashvili G. ↑,
90+5', Mujiri D. 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gagra won 3.
Gagra is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Performances by Rustavi have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Rustavi is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 9 head-to-head meetings, Gagra has recorded 5 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 12:8 (averaging 1.3:0.9 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Gagra against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 6:4 goals (averaging 1.5:1 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
Gagra - the odds 3 are the expected chance of winning is 29.8%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.
Rustavi - the odds 2.27 are the expected chance of winning is 39.38%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.
#ad
Vorobey O. (G) 
Borges P. 
Goshteliani G. 
Nazarov Y. 
Roland J. (G) 
Kessi S. 
Nakano Y. 
Ceijas K. 
Gambos M. 
Bet ยฃ10 and get ยฃ30 in Free Bets
Betting Bonus up to 1 000 EUR + 250 EUR free bet !
200% bonus up to $2,000
