Match Info

Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga - Round 13

Date: 16 May 2026, Saturday

Location: David Petriashvili Stadium (Tbilisi)

Referee: Khorava J. (Geo)


	Gagra		Rustavi

	1	X	2
	2.92	3.1	2.22	Watch
	3.22	3.3	2.25
	3.02	3.2	2.25	Watch
	3	2.88	2.2
	3.11	3.04	2.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.05 ↑ (2.73)	3.1 ↓ (3.28)	2.23 ↓ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gagra
29.8%

Draw
29.3%

Rustavi
40.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.7%

28%

38.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.1%

27.5%

39%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gagra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Rustavi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gagra than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rustavi than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Gagra - Rustavi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Vorobey O. (G) 14. Tchavtchanidze Z. 2. Augusto 4. Arsic V. 40. Claudinei 6. Tsintsadze M. (C) 8. Skrypnyk I. 25. Wanderson 11. Zoidze S. 7. Borges P. 9. Mujiri D.	35. Roland J. (G) 27. Kapanadze M. 24. Iakobidze I. 3. Patsatsia V. 19. Chikovani N. 22. Nakano Y. 13. Gujabidze A. (C) 40. Ubilava D. 11. Kessi S. 7. Jackson Kenio 9. Jean
Substitutes
29. Adeyeye R. 23. Andreychuk A. 12. Barbakadze G. (G) 3. Chochia O. 20. Darsania G. 13. Gobejishvili L. 21. Peikrishvili A. 17. Pipia G. 22. Sadghobelashvili G.	5. Ceijas K. 4. David Oliveira 18. Japaridze N. 17. Jibril B. 1. Kardava S. (G) 23. Kutateladze A. 14. Kutateladze N. 10. Osei P. 6. Pami M.
Coaches
Ljubenovic Z.	Tsetsadze G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
23', Patsatsia V. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
49', 1 - 0, Wanderson ⚽,
59', Kessi S. ↓, Osei P. ↑,
66', Mujiri D. ↓, Andreychuk A. ↑,
66', Borges P. ↓, Pipia G. ↑,
72', 1 - 1, Chikovani N. ⚽,
81', Ubilava D. ↓, Ceijas K. ↑,
81', Jean ↓, Kutateladze N. ↑,
83', Skrypnyk I. ↓, Peikrishvili A. ↑,
83', Tchavtchanidze Z. ↓, Darsania G. ↑,
90', Gujabidze A. ↓, Japaridze N. ↑,
90', Jackson Kenio ↓, Jibril B. ↑,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 9 in the zone Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga (Relegation) and 3).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gagra won 4.

Gagra is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Rustavi has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Gagra may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Gagra won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 11:4. (average 1.6:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Gagra won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Rustavi	27	13	7	7	32:23	9	46
8	Gagra	27	6	11	10	25:37	-12	29

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gagra FC
Georgian Erovnuli Liga
11.05.26	Spaeri - Gagra	3:0 ✺
06.05.26	Gagra - Dinamo Batumi	1:2 ✺
02.05.26	Samgurali Tskhaltubo - Gagra	2:0 ✺
27.04.26	Gagra - Meshakhte Tkibuli	1:1 ✺
21.04.26	Dinamo Tbilisi - Gagra	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 LLLTW
- FC Rustavi
Georgian Erovnuli Liga
11.05.26	Rustavi - Dinamo Tbilisi	2:3 ✺
05.05.26	Torpedo Kutaisi - Rustavi	1:1 ✺
01.05.26	Rustavi - Dila Gori	1:0 ✺
26.04.26	Rustavi - Iberia 1999	2:1 ✺
22.04.26	Meshakhte Tkibuli - Rustavi	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.5 LTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Georgian Erovnuli Liga
15.03.26	Rustavi - Gagra	1:2
Georgian Erovnuli Liga 2
01.11.21	Gagra - Rustavi	2:0
10.09.21	Rustavi - Gagra	0:1
24.05.21	Gagra - Rustavi	3:1
02.04.21	Rustavi - Gagra	0:0
20.10.20	Gagra - Rustavi	0:2
20.07.20	Rustavi - Gagra	0:3

Gagra - Rustavi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide