Match Info

Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga - Round 16

Date: 30 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Agrano Vachadze Stadium (Ambrolauri)

Referee: Avazashvili G. (Geo)


	Meshakhte Tkibuli		Dinamo Tbilisi

	1	X	2
	3.55	3.25	1.9	Watch
	5	3.53	1.63
	3.69	3.31	1.95	Watch
	4.8	3.2	1.67
	3.71	3.4	1.96	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.15 ↑ (3.67)	3.34 ↓ (3.41)	1.82 ↓ (1.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Meshakhte Tkibuli
22.1%

Draw
27.5%

Dinamo Tbilisi
50.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.1%

27%

47.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.9%

24.6%

52.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Meshakhte Tkibuli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Dinamo Tbilisi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Meshakhte Tkibuli than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dinamo Tbilisi than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Meshakhte Tkibuli - Dinamo Tbilisi Predictions

Users Predictions: Dinamo Tbilisi will win (14 of 14 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Tkeshelashvili L. (C) 26. Gabiskiria B. 31. Eric Pimentel 20. Kurdadze L. 40. Ugrekhelidze L. 30. Pyrogov M. 6. Papuashvili G. 21. Chikhradze L. 10. Ghurtskaia D. 13. Burduli G. 9. Sikharulidze I.	1. Loria G. (C) 6. Leo Santos 27. Kurdic N. 4. Ugrekhelidze N. 5. Kharebashvili S. 22. Ninua N. 24. Osei B. 13. Ramos R. 26. Yoro A. 10. Kharaishvili G. 11. Vatsadze M.
Substitutes
19. Dgebuadze I. 14. Jikia M. 11. Kvirkvia M. 7. Shonia T. 29. Shovnadze L. (G) 23. Shubitidze B. 22. Sikalo T. 4. Tereladze M.	17. Donkor N. K. 3. Kalandadze A. 18. Kvaratskhelia T. 21. Kvartskhava D. 37. Makatsaria M. (G) 20. Monteiro R. 25. Onomah J. 19. Siradze I. 32. Tsikolia L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
5', 0 - 1, Kurdic N. ⚽, Ninua N. (A),
20', 0 - 2, Vatsadze M. ⚽, Kharaishvili G. (A),
22', Gabiskiria B. 🟨,
27', 0 - 3, Ugrekhelidze N. ⚽, Ninua N. (A),
28', Chikhradze L. 🟨,
36', Ramos R. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
46', Papuashvili G. ↓, Sikalo T. ↑,
46', Ghurtskaia D. ↓, Kvirkvia M. ↑,
63', 0 - 4, Yoro A. ⚽, Kharebashvili S. (A),
64', Ramos R. ↓, Kvartskhava D. ↑,
64', Vatsadze M. ↓, Siradze I. ↑,
65', 🟨,
67', Kvaratskhelia T. (Penalty Awarded),
69', Ugrekhelidze L. ↓, Jikia M. ↑,
70', Osei B. 🟨,
73', 1 - 4, Kvirkvia M. ⚽, Sikalo T. (A),
74', Kharaishvili G. ↓, Tsikolia L. ↑,
75', Kvaratskhelia T. 🟨,
77', Pyrogov M. ↓, Shonia T. ↑,
80', Leo Santos ↓, Kalandadze A. ↑,
83', 1 - 5, Yoro A. ⚽, Tsikolia L. (A),
87', 1 - 6, Siradze I. ⚽, Kharebashvili S. (A),

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 10 in the zone Relegation ~ Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 and 4).

Meshakhte is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Dinamo Tbilisi is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Dinamo Tbilisi is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that Dinamo Tbilisi will win today's game, with odds of 1.94.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Meshakhte won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Dinamo Tbilisi	27	13	9	5	45:30	15	48
10	Meshakhte Tkibuli	27	2	11	14	20:44	-24	17

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Meshakhte Tkibuli
Georgian Erovnuli Liga
25.05.26	Spaeri - Meshakhte Tkibuli	2:1 ✺
20.05.26	Meshakhte Tkibuli - Torpedo Kutaisi	1:4 ✺
16.05.26	Dinamo Batumi - Meshakhte Tkibuli	2:1 ✺
10.05.26	Meshakhte Tkibuli - Dila Gori	0:2 ✺
06.05.26	Samgurali Tskhaltubo - Meshakhte Tkibuli	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Dinamo Tbilisi
Georgian Erovnuli Liga
24.05.26	Dinamo Tbilisi - Torpedo Kutaisi	0:1 ✺
20.05.26	Dila Gori - Dinamo Tbilisi	0:0 ✺
16.05.26	Dinamo Tbilisi - Iberia 1999	2:0 ✺
11.05.26	Rustavi - Dinamo Tbilisi	2:3 ✺
07.05.26	Dinamo Tbilisi - Spaeri	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 LTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Georgian Erovnuli Liga
17.04.26	Dinamo Tbilisi - Meshakhte Tkibuli	1:1

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