Match Info

Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga - Round 30

Date: 23 October 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: David Petriashvili Stadium (Tbilisi) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Kikacheishvili G. (Geo)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Belarus	19:00	Sport TV


	Rustavi		Dinamo Tbilisi

	1	X	2
	2.70	3.10	2.30
	2.70	3.05	2.32
	2.82	3.30	2.48
	2.85	3.18	2.37	Watch
	2.75	3.15	2.40
	2.93	3.40	2.30	Watch
	2.80	3.20	2.39
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.79 ↑ (2.55)	3.2 ↓ (3.34)	2.37 ↓ (2.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.75

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rustavi
32.7%

Draw
28.6%

Dinamo Tbilisi
38.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

35.4%

27.1%

37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.1%

26.9%

37.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rustavi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Dinamo Tbilisi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rustavi than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dinamo Tbilisi than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Rustavi - Dinamo Tbilisi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Beruashvili P. (C) 2. Andghuladze S. 4. David Oliveira 3. Patsatsia V. 19. Chikovani N. 22. Nakano Y. 13. Gujabidze A. 40. Ubilava D. 9. Jean 7. Jackson Kenio 10. Osei P.	20. Flores L. (G) 17. Psaltis P. 27. Kurdic N. 4. Ugrekhelidze N. 13. Pourzitidis M. 22. Ninua N. (C) 24. Osei B. 8. Kakashvili K. 10. Kharaishvili G. 11. Vatsadze M. 14. Do Couto M.
Substitutes
5. Ceijas K. 23. Gambos M. 24. Iakobidze I. 8. Kakashvili K. 27. Kapanadze M. 11. Kessi S. 20. Parkadze L. 35. Roland J. (G) 12. Tarkashvili T.	12. Bah A. 7. Doltmurziev K. 34. Gbomadu M. 33. Houri L. 3. Kalandadze A. 18. Kvaratskhelia T. 6. Leo Santos 42. Tartarashvili S. (G)
Coaches
Tsetsadze G.	Ketsbaia T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
14', Nakano Y. 🟨,
37', 0 - 1, Ninua N. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Kharaishvili G. ↓, Houri L. ↑,
52', Vatsadze M. ↓, Bah A. ↑,
56', Houri L. 🟨,
58', Jackson Kenio ↓, Kessi S. ↑,
59', Do Couto M. ↓, Kvaratskhelia T. ↑,
60', Osei B. 🟨,
61', David Oliveira 🟨,
62', 0 - 2, Ninua N. ⚽,
66', Osei B. ↓, Leo Santos ↑,
68', David Oliveira ↓, Ceijas K. ↑,
68', Gujabidze A. ↓, Iakobidze I. ↑,
77', Jean ↓, Parkadze L. ↑,
77', Nakano Y. ↓, Kakashvili K. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rustavi won 1.

Both teams are currently displaying solid and consistent form.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 12 head-to-head meetings, Rustavi has recorded 2 wins, 2 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 11:20 (averaging 0.9:1.7 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Rustavi against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, with 2:12 goals (averaging 0.3:2 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Dinamo Tbilisi	30	15	9	6	50:32	18	54
4	Rustavi	30	15	7	8	36:26	10	52

Last Results with these Odds

Rustavi - the odds 2.55 are the expected chance of winning is 35.41%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Rustavi
Georgian Erovnuli Liga
18.10.26	Torpedo Kutaisi - Rustavi	0:1 ✺
10.10.26	Rustavi - Dila Gori	3:1 ✺
Georgian Cup
26.09.26	Samtredia - Rustavi	1:2 ✺
Georgian Erovnuli Liga
21.09.26	Rustavi - Iberia 1999	0:2 ✺
14.09.26	Meshakhte Tkibuli - Rustavi	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WWWLW
- Dinamo Tbilisi
Georgian Erovnuli Liga
18.10.26	Dinamo Tbilisi - Spaeri	3:1 ✺
11.10.26	Dinamo Batumi - Dinamo Tbilisi	1:0 ✺
04.10.26	Iberia 1999 - Dinamo Tbilisi	1:2 ✺
19.09.26	Samgurali Tskhaltubo - Dinamo Tbilisi	2:3 ✺
14.09.26	Dinamo Tbilisi - Gagra	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Georgian Erovnuli Liga
15.08.26	Dinamo Tbilisi - Rustavi	0:3
11.05.26	Rustavi - Dinamo Tbilisi	2:3
11.03.26	Dinamo Tbilisi - Rustavi	0:0
09.11.19	Rustavi - Dinamo Tbilisi	0:2
25.08.19	Dinamo Tbilisi - Rustavi	2:2
28.05.19	Rustavi - Dinamo Tbilisi	0:1
07.04.19	Dinamo Tbilisi - Rustavi	3:1

Rustavi - Dinamo Tbilisi