Match Info

Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga - Round 12

Date: 11 May 2026, Monday

Location: Spaeri Stadium (Tbilisi)

Referee: Kunchulia B. (Geo)


	Spaeri		Gagra

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.15	2.98
	2.04	3.43	3.58
	1.98	3.43	3.45	Watch
	2.15	3	3
	2.17	3.1	3.15	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↑ (1.95)	3.22 ↓ (3.41)	3.23 ↓ (3.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Spaeri
43.4%

Draw
28.4%

Gagra
28.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.2%

27%

25.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.9%

26.1%

24.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Spaeri has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Gagra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spaeri than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Spaeri, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gagra than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Spaeri - Gagra Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Spaeri will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Gagra will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Putkaradze B. (G) 13. Mathenjwa S. 20. Kentchadze N. (C) 31. Bunturi G. 14. Samkharadze G. 10. Tsetskhladze T. 6. Askurava T. 19. Tsirdava G. 11. Poniava P. 7. Gegiadze S. 17. Kokhreidze L.	1. Vorobey O. (G) 22. Sadghobelashvili G. 14. Tchavtchanidze Z. 2. Augusto 11. Zoidze S. 8. Skrypnyk I. 21. Peikrishvili A. 6. Tsintsadze M. (C) 29. Adeyeye R. 17. Pipia G. 23. Andreychuk A.
Substitutes
30. Basilashvili Z. 22. Chagunava N. 23. Chomakhidze N. (G) 24. Golubiani Z. 21. Gordeziani O. 4. Grigalashvili G. 3. Kachibaia L. 2. Pirtakhia G. 9. Tsetskhladze G.	4. Arsic V. 12. Barbakadze G. (G) 3. Chochia O. 40. Claudinei 20. Darsania G. 13. Gobejishvili L. 19. Katsiashvili I. 9. Mujiri D. 25. Wanderson
Coaches
Kighuradze A.	Ljubenovic Z.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
9', Tsintsadze M. 🟨,
15', Pipia G. 🟨,
26', Bunturi G. 🟨,
44', 1 - 0, Bunturi G. ⚽, Tsirdava G. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Peikrishvili A. ↓, Wanderson ↑,
46', Sadghobelashvili G. ↓, Claudinei ↑,
46', Adeyeye R. ↓, Darsania G. ↑,
52', Poniava P. 🟨,
61', Tsintsadze M. ↓, Mujiri D. ↑,
67', Kokhreidze L. ↓, Tsetskhladze G. ↑,
72', 2 - 0, Tsetskhladze G. ⚽, Gegiadze S. (A),
73', Poniava P. ↓, Pirtakhia G. ↑,
80', Pipia G. ↓, Katsiashvili I. ↑,
90+2', Gegiadze S. ↓, Kachibaia L. ↑,
90+2', Mathenjwa S. ↓, Chagunava N. ↑,
90+3', 3 - 0, Samkharadze G. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 8 in the zone Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga (Relegation) and 9 in the zone Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga (Relegation)).

Spaeri is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Gagra has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Spaeri may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Spaeri has had a series of home games.

Spaeri will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Spaeri won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:6. (average 2.3:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Spaeri won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 3:2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Gagra	27	6	11	10	25:37	-12	29
9	Spaeri	27	5	10	12	34:43	-9	25

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Spaeri FC
Georgian Erovnuli Liga
07.05.26	Dinamo Tbilisi - Spaeri	2:1 ✺
01.05.26	Spaeri - Torpedo Kutaisi	1:1 ✺
26.04.26	Spaeri - Dila Gori	0:1 ✺
22.04.26	Spaeri - Iberia 1999	0:2 ✺
18.04.26	Spaeri - Rustavi	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LTLLT
- Gagra FC
Georgian Erovnuli Liga
06.05.26	Gagra - Dinamo Batumi	1:2 ✺
02.05.26	Samgurali Tskhaltubo - Gagra	2:0 ✺
27.04.26	Gagra - Meshakhte Tkibuli	1:1 ✺
21.04.26	Dinamo Tbilisi - Gagra	0:1 ✺
17.04.26	Gagra - Torpedo Kutaisi	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 LLTWT

Latest Head to Head

Georgian Erovnuli Liga
11.03.26	Gagra - Spaeri	0:3
Georgian Cup
05.11.24	Spaeri - Gagra	3:2 penalties
Georgian Erovnuli Liga
12.12.22	Spaeri - Gagra	3:2 penalties
08.12.22	Gagra - Spaeri	2:0

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