The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Gagra 47.9%
Draw 27.7%
Sioni Bolnisi 24.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
53.6%
27.9%
18.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
56.3%
29.3%
17.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gagra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gagra's form might have worsened.
Sioni Bolnisi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sioni Bolnisi's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gagra than the current prediction. (+8.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gagra, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sioni Bolnisi than the current prediction. (-6.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sioni Bolnisi, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Gagra - Sioni Bolnisi Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Vorobey O. (C) 14. Tchavtchanidze Z. 5. Tsintsadze M. 34. Santos Porfirio A. J. 13. Gegetchkori L. 8. Papuashvili G. 15. Aptsiauri O. 23. Kimadze G. 9. Lomtadze G. 33. Kharebashvili G. 7. Kavtaradze N.
19. Sepiashvili K. (G) 24. Iashvili N. 4. Nozadze L. 36. Rekhviashvili G. 15. Koripadze G. 22. Devdariani A. 6. Nozadze N. 30. Gwishiani G. 10. Sichinava D. 23. Tsirdava G. 29. Makatsaria T.
Substitutes
12. Bediashvili G. (G) 26. Gabiskiria B. 35. Gogoladze G. 30. Nadareishvili G. 18. Ouloguem A. 16. Tchamba C. 20. Ubilava G.
27. Chaganava L. 5. Chikovani N. 12. Isiani L. (G) 16. Kapanadze T. 9. Khabelashvili I. 20. Kurdadze L. 21. Potskhveria I. 7. Shonia T. 11. Ugrekhelidze G.
Coaches
Khachidze V.
Tchelidze G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
5', Gegetchkori L. 🟥,
9', Aptsiauri O. 🟨,
9', Tsintsadze M. 🟨,
43', Koripadze G. 🟨,
45+2', 0 - 1, Rekhviashvili G. ⚽, Sichinava D. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
52', 1 - 1, Kimadze G. ⚽, Aptsiauri O. (A),
54', Kimadze G. ↓, Gabiskiria B. ↑,
54', Aptsiauri O. ↓, Ubilava G. ↑,
59', Nozadze N. 🟨,
61', Makatsaria T. ↓, Kapanadze T. ↑,
73', Kavtaradze N. 🟨,
73', Kavtaradze N. ↓, Tchamba C. ↑,
77', Koripadze G. ↓, Ugrekhelidze G. ↑,
77', Devdariani A. ↓, Shonia T. ↑,
83', Tsintsadze M. ↓, Ouloguem A. ↑,
83', Papuashvili G. ↓, Nadareishvili G. ↑,
Extra Time (1 - 1)
94', 1 - 2, Tsirdava G. ⚽, Gwishiani G. (A),
104', 2 - 2, Nozadze L. (Own goal),
107', Gwishiani G. ↓, Khabelashvili I. ↑,
107', Nozadze N. ↓, Potskhveria I. ↑,
119', Vorobey O. 🟨,
Penalties (7 - 6)
1, Gabiskiria B. (Pen),
1, Sichinava D. (Pen),
2, Santos Porfirio A. J. (Pen),
2, Tsirdava G. (Pen),
3, Kharebashvili G. (Pen),
3, Potskhveria I. (Pen),
4, Nadareishvili G. (Pen),
4, Ugrekhelidze G. (Pen),
5, Lomtadze G. (Pen),
5, Khabelashvili I. (Pen),
6, Tchavtchanidze Z. (Pen),
6, Rekhviashvili G. (Pen),
7, Ubilava G. (Pen),
7, Shonia T. (Pen),
8, Tchamba C. (Pen),
8, Kapanadze T. (Pen),
Preview
2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-1.
Last 5 head-to-head matches Gagra won 1.
Two teams are playing changeable.
Gagra could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Gagra is a favorite.
Last 13 head-to-head matches Gagra won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 14:13 (average 1.1:1).
Including matches at home between the teams Gagra won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10:6 (average 1.4:0.9).
Watch
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Vorobey O. (C) 
Tchavtchanidze Z. 
Santos Porfirio A. J. 
Ouloguem A. 
Tchamba C. 
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