Match Info

Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga - Round 35

Date: 1 December 2025, Monday

Location: David Petriashvili Stadium (Tbilisi)

Referee: Shengelia I. (Geo)


	Gagra		Telavi

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.9	3.7	3.7
	1.75	3.74	4.03	Watch
	1.8	3.4	3.75
	1.77	3.56	3.92	Watch
	1.88	3.5	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↑ (1.69)	3.58 ↓ (3.6)	3.76 ↓ (4.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gagra
50.2%

Draw
25.5%

Telavi
24.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.1%

25.4%

20.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.9%

24.6%

19.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gagra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Telavi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gagra than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gagra, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Telavi than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72.7%	18.2%	9.1%

Gagra - Telavi Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Gagra will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Telavi will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gagra: 46.4% – 99%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Gagra (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Telavi (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 - Gagra (1.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Gagra (votes: 3 - 75%). Telavi (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Siukaev A. (G) 3. Chochia O. 2. Augusto 25. Wanderson 40. Claudinei 27. Skrypnyk I. 6. Tsintsadze M. (C) 18. Zoidze S. 26. Ardazishvili R. 9. Mujiri D. 33. Kharebashvili G.	1. Tandilashvili L. (G) 22. Gogotishvili D. 12. Tsnobiladze D. (C) 3. Ananidze A. 5. Gabitashvili P. 8. Devdariani A. 21. Basheleishvili M. 17. Kipiani N. 16. Chkhetiani G. 19. Martin I. 28. Kutalia D.
Substitutes
29. Adeyeye R. 37. Chkhaidze A. 7. Gagnidze O. 11. Gotsiridze D. 16. Osikmashvili L. 8. Papuashvili G. 5. Salukvadze L. 1. Sciapanau R. (G) 14. Tchavtchanidze Z.	10. Arveladze V. 4. Gigashvili Z. 20. Jordania L. 27. Kakara J. 39. Odishvili L. 29. Parkinashvili E. 25. Shevchenko O. (G) 7. Tsetskhladze N. 11. Zhividze T.
Coaches
Ljubenovic Z.	Gagua V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
31', 0 - 1, Basheleishvili M. ⚽,
33', 1 - 1, Mujiri D. ⚽, Zoidze S. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
49', Kutalia D. 🟨,
56', Chkhetiani G. ↓, Zhividze T. ↑,
60', Mujiri D. ↓, Gotsiridze D. ↑,
68', Chochia O. ↓, Tchavtchanidze Z. ↑,
71', 1 - 2, Martin I. ⚽, Zhividze T. (A),
74', Kipiani N. ↓, Odishvili L. ↑,
74', Kutalia D. ↓, Parkinashvili E. ↑,
76', Zoidze S. 🟨,
82', Kharebashvili G. ↓, Chkhaidze A. ↑,
82', Zoidze S. ↓, Adeyeye R. ↑,
82', Tsintsadze M. ↓, Papuashvili G. ↑,
84', Martin I. ↓, Arveladze V. ↑,
84', Basheleishvili M. ↓, Gigashvili Z. ↑,

Preview

Telavi is Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga (Relegation)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gagra won 4.

Gagra is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Telavi is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Gagra is the team to beat.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Gagra won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 18:12. (average 1.2:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Gagra won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 15:5. (average 2.1:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gagra FC
Georgian Erovnuli Liga
25.11.25	Gagra - Gareji Sagarejo	4:1 ✺
21.11.25	Dinamo Tbilisi - Gagra	2:4 ✺
07.11.25	Gagra - Kolkheti Poti	1:3 ✺
02.11.25	Samgurali Tskhaltubo - Gagra	1:1 ✺
26.10.25	Gagra - Dinamo Batumi	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.6 WWLTW
- FC Telavi
Georgian Erovnuli Liga
25.11.25	Telavi - Dinamo Batumi	1:2 ✺
21.11.25	Gareji Sagarejo - Telavi	3:3 ✺
08.11.25	Telavi - Dila Gori	0:2 ✺
02.11.25	Dinamo Tbilisi - Telavi	3:0 ✺
27.10.25	Telavi - Torpedo Kutaisi	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Georgian Erovnuli Liga
27.09.25	Telavi - Gagra	4:0
25.05.25	Gagra - Telavi	3:0
14.04.25	Telavi - Gagra	0:1
22.11.24	Gagra - Telavi	2:0
14.09.24	Telavi - Gagra	0:1
19.05.24	Gagra - Telavi	2:0
03.04.24	Telavi - Gagra	1:0

Gagra - Telavi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide