Match Info

NPL Premier Division - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 29 April 2025, Tuesday

Location: Sandy Lane Stadium (Worksop)


	Worksop Town		Ashton United

	1	X	2
	1.36	4.6	6.25
	1.52	4.2	4.8
	1.57	4.27	5.21
	1.56	4.28	5.21	Watch
	1.35	4.6	7
	1.51	4.33	5.28
	1.52	4.2	4.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↓ (1.85)	4.35 ↑ (3.4)	5.51 ↑ (3.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Worksop Town
62.1%

Draw
21.2%

Ashton United
16.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.9%

26.6%

24.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.4%

26.3%

24.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Worksop Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Worksop Town's performance.

Ashton United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ashton United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Worksop Town than the current prediction. (-12.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Worksop Town that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ashton United than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ashton United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Worksop Town - Ashton United Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Worksop will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Worksop (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
29', 1 - 0, Hughes L. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
59', 1 - 1, Gilchrist J. ⚽,
76', 2 - 1, Burrow J. ⚽,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Worksop won 4.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match Worksop is absolute favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Worksop won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12:8 (average 2:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Worksop won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:2 (average 2:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Worksop Town
English NPL Premier Division
26.04.25	Blyth Spartans - Worksop Town	2:3 ✺
21.04.25	Worksop Town - Basford United	4:0 ✺
19.04.25	Matlock Town - Worksop Town	1:2 ✺
12.04.25	Worksop Town - Bamber Bridge	0:1 ✺
05.04.25	Stockton Town - Worksop Town	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WWWLL
- Ashton United
English NPL Premier Division
26.04.25	Workington - Ashton United	5:1 ✺
21.04.25	Ashton United - Mickleover Sports	2:0 ✺
19.04.25	Bamber Bridge - Ashton United	2:1 ✺
12.04.25	Ashton United - Gainsborough Trinity	0:2 ✺
05.04.25	Basford United - Ashton United	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
08.02.25	Worksop Town - Ashton United	2:0
12.10.24	Ashton United - Worksop Town	2:3
09.03.24	Ashton United - Worksop Town	2:0
03.02.24	Worksop Town - Ashton United	1:0
22.02.14	Worksop Town - Ashton United	3:2
16.11.13	Ashton United - Worksop Town	2:3

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