Match Info

NPL Premier Division - Round 24

Date: 26 December 2025, Friday


	Guiseley		Gainsborough Trinity

	1	X	2
	2.68	3.05	2.42
	2.69	3.28	2.55	Watch
	2.63	3	2.45
	2.63	3.13	2.43
	2.66	3.25	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.66 ↑ (2.65)	3.14 ↓ (3.17)	2.46 ↑ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guiseley
34.2%

Draw
28.9%

Gainsborough Trinity
36.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34%

28.4%

37.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.3%

29.9%

39.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guiseley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Gainsborough Trinity has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guiseley than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gainsborough Trinity than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Guiseley - Gainsborough Trinity Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
30', 0 - 1, Margetts J. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
59', 1 - 1, Thewlis J. ⚽,
76', 2 - 1, Thewlis J. ⚽,
78', 2 - 2, Mulhern E. F. ⚽,
88', 3 - 2, Lawlor J. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 14 and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guiseley won 2.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Guiseley won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 18:17. (average 1.3:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Guiseley won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 0.9:1.1).

Last Results with these Odds

Gainsborough Trinity - the odds 2.4 are the expected chance of winning is 37.57%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guiseley
English NPL Premier Division
20.12.25	Hebburn Town - Guiseley	1:0 ✺
13.12.25	Prescot Cables - Guiseley	2:0 ✺
06.12.25	Guiseley - Leek Town	1:0 ✺
22.11.25	Guiseley - Ashton United	4:2 ✺
18.11.25	Workington - Guiseley	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 LLWWW
- Gainsborough Trinity
English NPL Premier Division
20.12.25	Gainsborough Trinity - Ilkeston	0:0 ✺
13.12.25	Gainsborough Trinity - Stocksbridge Park Steels	1:1 ✺
06.12.25	Warrington Town - Gainsborough Trinity	0:3 ✺
02.12.25	Morpeth Town - Gainsborough Trinity	1:1 ✺
25.11.25	Gainsborough Trinity - Hebburn Town	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 TTWTL

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
21.04.25	Guiseley - Gainsborough Trinity	0:2
26.12.24	Gainsborough Trinity - Guiseley	0:2
06.01.24	Guiseley - Gainsborough Trinity	0:1
English FA Trophy
07.10.23	Gainsborough Trinity - Guiseley	1:3
English NPL Premier Division
22.08.23	Gainsborough Trinity - Guiseley	4:0
04.03.23	Guiseley - Gainsborough Trinity	0:1
27.09.22	Gainsborough Trinity - Guiseley	1:1

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