Match Info

NPL Premier Division - Round 38

Date: 3 April 2026, Friday


	Stockton Town		Gainsborough Trinity

	1	X	2
	1.92	3.35	3.35
	1.95	3.71	3.3
	1.95	3.81	3.39	Watch
	1.95	3.3	3.2
	1.94	3.5	3.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↓ (2.09)	3.53 ↑ (3.35)	3.31 ↑ (3.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Stockton Town
46.8%

Draw
25.7%

Gainsborough Trinity
27.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.7%

27.2%

29.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.4%

26.8%

28.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stockton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Gainsborough Trinity has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stockton Town than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gainsborough Trinity than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Stockton Town - Gainsborough Trinity Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45+2', 1 - 0, Petitjean J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 6 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Premier Division (Play Offs: )).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Stockton Town is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Stockton Town won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 1:2).

Including home match between the teams, Stockton Town won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.

Outrights of English NPL Premier Division for now

Gainsborough: 3.14% Stockton: 1.62%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Gainsborough	10	5	1	4	20:14	6	16
16	Stockton	12	3	2	7	15:22	-7	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stockton Town
English NPL Premier Division
28.03.26	Hyde United - Stockton Town	3:0 ✺
21.03.26	Stockton Town - Warrington Town	2:1 ✺
14.03.26	Ilkeston - Stockton Town	0:1 ✺
07.03.26	Stockton Town - United of Manchester	2:3 ✺
28.02.26	Leek Town - Stockton Town	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LWWLT
- Gainsborough Trinity
English NPL Premier Division
28.03.26	Gainsborough Trinity - Warrington Rylands	0:0 ✺
24.03.26	Gainsborough Trinity - Bamber Bridge	0:1 ✺
21.03.26	Rushall Olympic - Gainsborough Trinity	1:1 ✺
17.03.26	Gainsborough Trinity - Hyde United	2:0 ✺
07.03.26	Hebburn Town - Gainsborough Trinity	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 TLTWL

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
19.08.25	Gainsborough Trinity - Stockton Town	2:0
25.01.25	Stockton Town - Gainsborough Trinity	2:3
21.09.24	Gainsborough Trinity - Stockton Town	1:1

Upcoming Matches