Match Info

NPL Premier Division - Round 35

Date: 14 March 2026, Saturday


	Hednesford Town		Guiseley

	1	X	2
	1.88	3.25	3.7
	1.88	3.45	3.76
	1.88	3.57	3.87	Watch
	1.85	3.1	3.7
	1.83	3.34	3.92
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↑ (1.72)	3.34 ↓ (3.71)	3.79 ↓ (4.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Hednesford Town
48.8%

Draw
27.2%

Guiseley
24%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.1%

25.1%

20.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.4%

24.5%

20.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hednesford Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hednesford Town's form might have worsened.

Guiseley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hednesford Town than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hednesford Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guiseley than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Hednesford Town - Guiseley Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
21', 1 - 0, Gibson M. ⚽,
36', 2 - 0, Rose A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Premier Division (Play Offs: ) and 12).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Recently, Guiseley has had a series of home games.

In this match, Hednesford is considered a favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hednesford won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:5. (average 2.6:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Hednesford won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 2:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Guiseley	11	7	1	3	24:11	13	22

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hednesford Town
English NPL Premier Division
07.03.26	Bamber Bridge - Hednesford Town	1:3 ✺
21.02.26	Hednesford Town - Lancaster City	3:0 ✺
14.02.26	Hyde United - Hednesford Town	5:0 ✺
10.02.26	Hednesford Town - Hebburn Town	1:1 ✺
07.02.26	Hednesford Town - Whitby Town	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WWLTT
- Guiseley
English NPL Premier Division
07.03.26	Guiseley - Workington	1:1 ✺
21.02.26	Guiseley - Warrington Town	4:0 ✺
14.02.26	Ilkeston - Guiseley	1:0 ✺
07.02.26	Guiseley - Lancaster City	0:0 ✺
03.02.26	Guiseley - Bamber Bridge	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 TWLTL

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
01.11.25	Guiseley - Hednesford Town	1:5
English National League North
14.02.15	Guiseley - Hednesford Town	0:2
13.09.14	Hednesford Town - Guiseley	1:1
12.04.14	Hednesford Town - Guiseley	3:2
21.09.13	Guiseley - Hednesford Town	1:2

Upcoming Matches