Match Info

NPL Premier Division - Round 10

Date: 16 September 2025, Tuesday


	Gainsborough Trinity		Whitby Town

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.7	4.2
	1.65	3.6	4.25
	1.13	6.57	25.00	Watch
	1.67	3.62	4.47
	1.67	3.62	4.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↓ (1.75)	4.22 ↑ (3.75)	8.48 ↑ (3.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gainsborough Trinity
64.5%

Draw
23.7%

Whitby Town
11.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.8%

24.2%

24%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.1%

22.8%

22.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gainsborough Trinity has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gainsborough Trinity's performance.

Whitby Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Whitby Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gainsborough Trinity than the current prediction. (-9.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gainsborough Trinity that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Whitby Town than the current prediction. (+10.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Whitby Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Gainsborough Trinity - Whitby Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Clarke J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Premier Division (Play Offs: ) and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gainsborough won 4.

Gainsborough has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Whitby is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Gainsborough is the team to beat.

We predict that Gainsborough will win today's game, with odds of 1.73.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Gainsborough won 10 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 29:8. (average 2.2:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Gainsborough won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 16:4. (average 2.3:0.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gainsborough Trinity
English FA Cup
13.09.25	Gainsborough Trinity - Rushall Olympic	2:1 ✺
English NPL Premier Division
10.09.25	Stocksbridge Park Steels - Gainsborough Trinity	0:2 ✺
06.09.25	Gainsborough Trinity - Warrington Town	2:0 ✺
25.08.25	Cleethorpes Town - Gainsborough Trinity	0:1 ✺
23.08.25	Gainsborough Trinity - Lancaster City	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 WWWWT
- Whitby Town
English FA Cup
13.09.25	Hyde United - Whitby Town	2:0 ✺
English NPL Premier Division
09.09.25	Whitby Town - Stockton Town	1:1 ✺
06.09.25	Ilkeston - Whitby Town	0:1 ✺
25.08.25	Whitby Town - Hebburn Town	0:2 ✺
23.08.25	Hyde United - Whitby Town	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LTWLL

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
25.03.25	Gainsborough Trinity - Whitby Town	2:1
05.11.24	Whitby Town - Gainsborough Trinity	0:2
09.03.24	Whitby Town - Gainsborough Trinity	0:1
02.03.24	Gainsborough Trinity - Whitby Town	2:0
04.02.23	Gainsborough Trinity - Whitby Town	0:1
13.09.22	Whitby Town - Gainsborough Trinity	0:6
23.04.22	Whitby Town - Gainsborough Trinity	1:2

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