Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 7 - Round 26

Date: 16 March 2025, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Galapagar		Canillas

	1	X	2
	1.77	3.6	3.6
	1.82	3.65	3.6
	1.8	3.85	3.66	Watch
	1.73	3.68	4.01
	1.82	3.65	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↓ (1.82)	3.69 ↑ (3.4)	3.69 ↓ (3.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Galapagar
50.8%

Draw
24.6%

Canillas
24.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

49.8%

26.6%

23.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.5%

27.5%

22.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Galapagar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Canillas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Galapagar than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Canillas than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Galapagar - Canillas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
67', 1 - 0, Buceta P. ⚽,

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 8 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Galapagar is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Canillas is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Canillas could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Galapagar is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Galapagar won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 13:6 (average 2.6:1.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Galapagar won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:2 (average 3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Galapagar
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
02.03.25	Galapagar - Torrejón	0:1 ✺
23.02.25	Alcalá - Galapagar	5:0 ✺
16.02.25	Galapagar - Rayo Vallecano B	2:3 ✺
09.02.25	Leganés B - Galapagar	0:2 ✺
02.02.25	Galapagar - Tres Cantos	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LLLWT
- CD Canillas
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
09.03.25	Canillas - Trival Valderas	2:2 ✺
02.03.25	Aravaca - Canillas	1:2 ✺
23.02.25	Canillas - México	1:2 ✺
16.02.25	Parla - Canillas	0:1 ✺
09.02.25	Canillas - Villaverde San Andrés	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 28.8 TWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
03.11.24	Canillas - Galapagar	1:3
07.04.24	Galapagar - Canillas	2:2
19.11.23	Canillas - Galapagar	0:2
23.04.23	Canillas - Galapagar	3:2
08.01.23	Galapagar - Canillas	4:0

Galapagar - Canillas