Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 7 - Round 19

Date: 25 January 2026, Sunday


	Galapagar		Racing Madrid

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.4	4.25
	1.86	3.48	3.8
	1.04	12.07	25.00	Watch
	1.8	3.2	4
	1.88	3.44	4.07
	1.52	3.66	5.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↑ (1.61)	4.88 ↑ (3.46)	7.81 ↑ (5.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Galapagar
64.8%

Draw
21.7%

Racing Madrid
13.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.4%

26.3%

17.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.1%

25.5%

16.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Galapagar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Galapagar's performance.

Racing Madrid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Galapagar than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Galapagar that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Racing Madrid than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Galapagar - Racing Madrid Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Fernandez Morales M. ⚽,
25', 2 - 0, Figueroa A. G. d. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
52', 3 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, Galapagar is seen as the favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Galapagar won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Galapagar	5	2	2	1	10:8	2	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Galapagar
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
18.01.26	Torrejón - Galapagar	4:0 ✺
11.01.26	Las Rozas - Galapagar	1:1 ✺
04.01.26	Galapagar - Parla	2:1 ✺
20.12.25	Galapagar - Unión Adarve	1:0 ✺
13.12.25	Alcorcón B - Galapagar	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 LTWWL
- Racing Madrid
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
18.01.26	Racing Madrid - Las Rozas	0:3 ✺
11.01.26	Racing Madrid - Unión Adarve	3:1 ✺
04.01.26	Villaverde San Andrés - Racing Madrid	1:2 ✺
21.12.25	Racing Madrid - Atlético Madrid C	2:6 ✺
14.12.25	Siello - Racing Madrid	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.2 LWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
14.09.25	Racing Madrid - Galapagar	1:1

Galapagar - Racing Madrid: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide