Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 7 - ROUND 20

Date: 12 February 2023, Sunday


	Galapagar		Ursaria

	1	X	2
	4.33	3.6	1.63
	4.7	3.2	1.6
	5.12	3.3	1.63
	5.1	3.68	1.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.81 ↓ (6.2)	3.45 ↓ (4.32)	1.62 ↑ (1.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Galapagar
18.6%

Draw
26%

Ursaria
55.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.6%

21%

64.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.1%

20.3%

66.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Galapagar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Ursaria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ursaria might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Galapagar than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ursaria than the current prediction. (+11.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ursaria could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Galapagar - Ursaria Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 12 and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Recent matches Galapagar is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ursaria is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Galapagar could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Ursaria is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Galapagar won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Galapagar won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Galapagar
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
05.02.23	Paracuellos Antamira - Galapagar	4:1 ✺
29.01.23	Galapagar - Torrejón	0:2 ✺
22.01.23	Móstoles URJC - Galapagar	2:0 ✺
15.01.23	Galapagar - Collado Villalba	2:0 ✺
08.01.23	Galapagar - Canillas	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LLLWW
- CDE Ursaria
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
05.02.23	Ursaria - Las Rozas	2:2 ✺
28.01.23	Alcalá - Ursaria	0:1 ✺
22.01.23	RSC Internacional - Ursaria	1:1 ✺
15.01.23	Ursaria - Paracuellos Antamira	2:1 ✺
08.01.23	Ursaria - Torrejón	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 TWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
08.10.22	Ursaria - Galapagar	1:0
30.01.22	Ursaria - Galapagar	4:0
26.09.21	Galapagar - Ursaria	2:1

Galapagar - Ursaria: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide