Match Info

Super Lig - Round 26

Date: 14 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Rams Park (Istanbul)

Referee: Kolak B. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Galatasaray		İstanbul Başakşehir

	1	X	2
	1.37	5.25	6.25	Watch
	1.39	4.71	6.93
	1.41	5.33	7.14
	1.41	5.23	6.48	Watch
	1.4	4.8	6
	1.46	5.4	6.18	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↓ (1.48)	5.12 ↑ (5.07)	6.5 ↑ (5.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Galatasaray
67.1%

Draw
18.4%

İstanbul Başakşehir
14.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.9%

18.9%

16.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.6%

18.4%

15.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Galatasaray has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

İstanbul Başakşehir has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Galatasaray than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for İstanbul Başakşehir than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	8.3%	16.7%

Galatasaray - İstanbul Başakşehir Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Galatasaray will win (votes: 9 - 75%). Başakşehir will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Galatasaray: 50.5% – 99.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 - Başakşehir (4.60) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1 - Galatasaray (1.59) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

1X2, 1st Half - Galatasaray (2.04) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 4 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Galatasaray (1.17) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Galatasaray (votes: 3 - 50%). Başakşehir (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Cakir U. (G) 7. Sallai R. 6. Sanchez D. 90. Singo W. 17. Elmali E. 34. Torreira L. 8. Gabriel Sara 53. Yilmaz B. A. 11. Akgun Y. (C) 77. Lang N. 45. Osimhen V.	16. Sengezer M. (G) 42. Sahiner O. (C) 5. Duarte L. 3. Opoku J. 36. Ebosele F. 8. Kemen O. 20. Gunes U. 7. Sari Y. 14. Shomurodov E. 77. Brnic I. 9. Selke D.
Substitutes
22. Asprilla Y. 23. Ayhan K. 93. Boey S. 20. Gundogan I. 19. Guvenc G. (G) 9. Icardi M. 4. Jakobs I. 21. Kutucu A. 99. Lemina M. 74. Nhaga R.	80. Alemdar D. (G) 27. Ba O. 6. Bulut O. 13. Crespo M. 10. Da Costa N. 4. Ergun O. 25. Harit A. 18. Kaluzinski J. 2. Ozdemir B. 91. Yildirim B.
Coaches
Saraloglu I.	Sahin N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
28', Ebosele F. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
56', Ebosele F. 🟨,
57', 1 - 0, Singo W. ⚽, Lang N. (A),
58', Brnic I. ↓, Ba O. ↑,
58', Sari Y. ↓, Bulut O. ↑,
66', 2 - 0, Osimhen V. ⚽, Akgun Y. (A),
70', Shomurodov E. ↓, Crespo M. ↑,
70', Selke D. ↓, Yildirim B. ↑,
74', Torreira L. ↓, Boey S. ↑,
74', Yilmaz B. A. ↓, Gundogan I. ↑,
75', Osimhen V. ↓, Icardi M. ↑,
79', Singo W. ↓, Ayhan K. ↑,
79', Gunes U. ↓, Ergun O. ↑,
82', Sallai R. ↓, Nhaga R. ↑,
84', 3 - 0, Nhaga R. ⚽, Akgun Y. (A),

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 5).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Galatasaray won 4.

Galatasaray is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Başakşehir has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Başakşehir may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Başakşehir has had a series of home games.

In this match, Galatasaray is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Galatasaray: Baltaci M. (Suspended) Bardakci A. (Yellow Cards) Sane L. (Red Card) Unyay A. (Injury)

There will not play in Başakşehir: Harit A. (Injury) Karatas K. (Yellow Cards)

We predict that Galatasaray will win today's game, with odds of 1.61.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Galatasaray won 12 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 36:18. (average 1.8:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Galatasaray won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:8. (average 1.6:0.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Galatasaray	7	5	1	1	16:11	5	16
11	Basaksehir	7	2	2	3	10:11	-1	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Galatasaray
UEFA Champions League
10.03.26	Galatasaray - Liverpool	1:0 ✺
Turkish Super League
07.03.26	Beşiktaş - Galatasaray	0:1 ✺
Turkish Cup
03.03.26	Alanyaspor - Galatasaray	1:2 ✺
Turkish Super League
28.02.26	Galatasaray - Alanyaspor	3:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
25.02.26	Juventus - Galatasaray	3:2 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 WWWWL
- İstanbul Başakşehir
Turkish Super League
07.03.26	İstanbul Başakşehir - Göztepe	2:1 ✺
Turkish Cup
03.03.26	İstanbul Başakşehir - Trabzonspor	2:4 ✺
Turkish Super League
27.02.26	İstanbul Başakşehir - Konyaspor	2:0 ✺
21.02.26	Alanyaspor - İstanbul Başakşehir	1:2 ✺
15.02.26	İstanbul Başakşehir - Beşiktaş	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Cup
18.12.25	Galatasaray - İstanbul Başakşehir	1:0
Turkish Super League
18.10.25	İstanbul Başakşehir - Galatasaray	1:2
30.05.25	Galatasaray - İstanbul Başakşehir	2:0
12.01.25	İstanbul Başakşehir - Galatasaray	1:2
Turkish Cup
08.01.25	Galatasaray - İstanbul Başakşehir	2:2
Turkish Super League
10.02.24	Galatasaray - İstanbul Başakşehir	2:0
23.09.23	İstanbul Başakşehir - Galatasaray	1:2

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