Match Info

Super Lig - Round 25

Date: 7 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Tupras Stadium (Istanbul)

Referee: Ergun O. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Beşiktaş		Galatasaray

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.5	2.65	Watch
	2.55	3.6	2.45
	2.43	3.54	2.62	Watch
	2.54	3.6	2.77
	2.53	3.64	2.61	Watch
	2.45	3.3	2.6
	2.62	3.72	2.63	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.5 ↓ (2.91)	3.56 ↑ (3.53)	2.62 ↑ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Beşiktaş
37.7%

Draw
26.4%

Galatasaray
35.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.5%

26.8%

40.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.1%

28%

42.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Beşiktaş has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Beşiktaş's performance.

Galatasaray has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Beşiktaş than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Beşiktaş that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Galatasaray than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Galatasaray could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
39.1%	17.4%	43.5%

Beşiktaş - Galatasaray Predictions

Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Beşiktaş will win (votes: 9 - 39.1%). Galatasaray will win (votes: 10 - 43.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 17.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Galatasaray: 23.2% – 63.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Beşiktaş (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Galatasaray (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 4 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 50%) .

O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Beşiktaş (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Beşiktaş (1.49) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Beşiktaş (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Galatasaray (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Destanoglu E. (G) 62. Murillo M. 12. Agbadou E. 14. Uduokhai F. 33. Yilmaz R. 4. Ndidi W. 18. Cerny V. 23. Asllani K. 10. Kokcu O. (C) 15. Olaitan J. 9. Oh Hyeon-Gyu	1. Cakir U. (G) 7. Sallai R. 6. Sanchez D. 42. Bardakci A. (C) 4. Jakobs I. 34. Torreira L. 99. Lemina M. 10. Sane L. 8. Gabriel Sara 53. Yilmaz B. A. 45. Osimhen V.
Substitutes
35. Djalo T. 91. Hekimoglu M. 26. Jota Silva 17. Kayra Yilmaz K. 58. Ozcan Y. 7. Rashica M. 25. Sazdagi G. 8. Ucan S. 11. Under C. 32. Vasquez Llach D. S. (G)	11. Akgun Y. 23. Ayhan K. 93. Boey S. 17. Elmali E. 20. Gundogan I. 19. Guvenc G. (G) 9. Icardi M. 77. Lang N. 74. Nhaga R. 90. Singo W.
Coaches
Yalcin S.	Buruk O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
6', Osimhen V. 🟨,
28', Sane L. 🟨,
29', Kokcu O. 🟨,
31', Murillo M. 🟨,
39', 0 - 1, Osimhen V. ⚽, Sane L. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
62', Sane L. 🟥,
67', Gabriel Sara ↓, Boey S. ↑,
71', Bardakci A. 🟨,
72', Asllani K. ↓, Hekimoglu M. ↑,
72', Cerny V. ↓, Under C. ↑,
77', Lemina M. 🟨,
80', Cakir U. 🟨,
81', Yilmaz B. A. ↓, Elmali E. ↑,
82', Lemina M. ↓, Singo W. ↑,
84', Sallai R. 🟨,
89', Olaitan J. 🟨,
90+3', Sallai R. ↓, Akgun Y. ↑,
90+3', Torreira L. ↓, Ayhan K. ↑,
90+4', Singo W. 🟨,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Beşiktaş won 2.

Beşiktaş has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Galatasaray has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Galatasaray may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Beşiktaş: Topcu E. (Injury) Toure E. B. (Injury)

There will not play in Galatasaray: Baltaci M. (Suspended) Unyay A. (Injury)

There are questionable in Beşiktaş: Bulut T. (Injury) Uysal N. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Beşiktaş won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 28:22. (average 1.4:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Beşiktaş won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 16:6. (average 1.8:0.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Galatasaray	7	5	1	1	16:11	5	16
5	Besiktas	6	4	0	2	14:7	7	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Beşiktaş
Turkish Cup
04.03.26	Beşiktaş - Çaykur Rizespor	4:1 ✺
Turkish Super League
28.02.26	Kocaelispor - Beşiktaş	0:1 ✺
22.02.26	Beşiktaş - Göztepe	4:0 ✺
15.02.26	İstanbul Başakşehir - Beşiktaş	2:3 ✺
08.02.26	Beşiktaş - Alanyaspor	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WWWWT
- Galatasaray
Turkish Cup
03.03.26	Alanyaspor - Galatasaray	1:2 ✺
Turkish Super League
28.02.26	Galatasaray - Alanyaspor	3:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
25.02.26	Juventus - Galatasaray	3:2 ET ✺
Turkish Super League
21.02.26	Konyaspor - Galatasaray	2:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
17.02.26	Galatasaray - Juventus	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Super League
04.10.25	Galatasaray - Beşiktaş	1:1
29.03.25	Beşiktaş - Galatasaray	2:1
28.10.24	Galatasaray - Beşiktaş	2:1
Turkish Super Cup
03.08.24	Galatasaray - Beşiktaş	0:5
Turkish Super League
03.03.24	Beşiktaş - Galatasaray	0:1
21.10.23	Galatasaray - Beşiktaş	2:1
30.04.23	Beşiktaş - Galatasaray	3:1

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