Match Info

EUROPE: Europa League - League phase - Round 1

Date: 25 September 2024, Wednesday

Location: Rams Park (Istanbul)

Referee: Hernandez A. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, New World Sport App, SuperSport Football, SuperSport Premier League
Albania	SuperSport 4
Argentina	ESPN 3
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 6
Azerbaijan	CBC Sport
Belgium	VOOsport World 2
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 3, Moja TV
Bulgaria	Ring, Voyo
Canada	DAZN Canada
Chile	ESPN 3
China	QQ Sports
Colombia	ESPN 3
Croatia	Arena Sport 8, MAXtv To Go
Denmark	Disney+
Finland	Elisa Viihde Sport, Viaplay
France	Canal+ Live 1, Canal+ Live 4
Georgia	Setanta Sport 3, Silk Sport 2
Germany	RTL+
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 2, COSMOTE Sport 4, Cosmote Sport 4K
Hungary	RTL+
Iceland	Viaplay
Italy	Sky Sport 253
Kosovo	ART Motion Sport 1
Laos	beIN Connect
Malta	TSN Malta 6
Mexico	Amazon Prime Video, FOX Sports Premium
Myanmar	Canal+ Myanmar
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 3
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Polsat Sport Premium 2
Portugal	DAZN 2
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
Russia	Okko Sport
Slovenia	SportKlub 1
South-america	ViX Latin America
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones 4, Movistar Plus+ 1
Sweden	Disney+
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 7, Blue Sport 7
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4
Turkey	TRT 1
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 7
United-kingdom	Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 5
Usa	Paramount+
Venezuela	Inter
Vietnam	ON Plus
World	Disney+, Prima+ app


	Galatasaray		PAOK

	1	X	2
	1.57	4.33	5.5
	1.58	4.33	5
	1.62	4.5	5
	1.61	4.45	5.28
	1.62	4.41	4.88	Watch
	1.6	4.2	5.5
	1.65	4.4	5.53
	1.62	4.5	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↑ (1.59)	4.39 ↑ (4.29)	5.21 ↓ (5.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Galatasaray
59.7%

Draw
21.9%

PAOK
18.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.2%

22.3%

17.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.7%

23.2%

16.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Galatasaray has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

PAOK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Galatasaray than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for PAOK than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.1%	14.9%	9%

Galatasaray - PAOK Predictions

Users Predictions: 65 users predict this event. Galatasaray will win (votes: 50 - 76.9%). PAOK will win (votes: 6 - 9.2%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 13.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Galatasaray: 66.7% – 87.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
19. Guvenc G. (G) 23. Ayhan K. (C) 6. Sanchez D. 42. Bardakci A. 4. Jakobs I. 20. Gabriel Sara 34. Torreira L. 53. Yilmaz B. A. 10. Mertens D. 11. Akgun Y. 45. Osimhen V.	42. Kotarski D. (G) 19. Jonny Otto 16. Kedziora T. 15. Colley O. 21. Baba A. R. 2. Camara M. 27. Ozdoev M. 14. Zivkovic A. (C) 7. Konstantelias G. 11. Taison 9. Chalov F.
Substitutes
83. Akman E. 90. Baltaci M. 44. Batshuayi M. 8. Demirbay K. 30. Demir Y. 9. Icardi M. 24. Jelert E. 18. Kutlu B. 67. Lus B. 25. Nelsson V. 38. Ordu A. (G) 12. Sen B. (G)	8. Bakayoko T. 54. Balomenos K. (G) 77. Despodov K. 5. Michailidis G. 41. Monastirlis D. (G) 23. Sastre J. 22. Schwab S. 47. Shoretire S. 25. Thymianis K. 34. Tissoudali T.
Coaches
Buruk O.	Lucescu R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
28', Ozdoev M. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
48', 1 - 0, Baba A. R. (Own goal),
56', Ayhan K. 🟨,
67', 1 - 1, Konstantelias G. ⚽,
71', Chalov F. ↓, Tissoudali T. ↑,
76', 2 - 1, Akgun Y. ⚽, Osimhen V. (A),
77', Konstantelias G. ↓, Despodov K. ↑,
77', Ozdoev M. ↓, Schwab S. ↑,
78', Osimhen V. ↓, Icardi M. ↑,
78', Mertens D. ↓, Demirbay K. ↑,
81', Camara M. ↓, Bakayoko T. ↑,
84', Ayhan K. ↓, Jelert E. ↑,
87', Akgun Y. ↓, Kutlu B. ↑,
88', Yilmaz B. A. ↓, Batshuayi M. ↑,
90+5', 3 - 1, Icardi M. ⚽, Demirbay K. (A),

Preview

Galatasaray is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

PAOK in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Galatasaray could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Galatasaray is a favorite.

There will not play in Galatasaray: Muslera F. (Red Card) Ziyech H. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Galatasaray: Sallai R. (Injury) Yesilyurt A. (Injury)

There are questionable in PAOK: Thomas B. (Ankle Injury) Tsiftsis A. (Injury) Zivkovic A. (Injury)

Our prediction for today's Galatasaray to win the game is with odds 1.62.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Galatasaray
Turkish Super League
21.09.24	Fenerbahçe - Galatasaray	1:3 ✺
17.09.24	Galatasaray - Gaziantep	3:1 ✺
14.09.24	Galatasaray - Çaykur Rizespor	5:0 ✺
31.08.24	Adana Demirspor - Galatasaray	1:5 ✺
UEFA Champions League
27.08.24	Galatasaray - Young Boys	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WWWWL
- PAOK FC
Greek Super League
21.09.24	Volos - PAOK	1:4 ✺
15.09.24	PAOK - Panathinaikos	0:0 ✺
01.09.24	Atromitos Athens - PAOK	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
29.08.24	Shamrock Rovers - PAOK	0:2 ✺
Greek Super League
25.08.24	PAOK - Panetolikos	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WTWWW

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