Match Info

Super League - Championship Group - Round 1

Date: 5 April 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Toumba Stadium (Thessaloniki) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Sylwestrzak D. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Australia	02:00	SportPlus
Brazil	13:00	Claro TV+, IT tv Plus, Sky+, SportyNet, Zapping
Bulgaria	19:00	Diema Sport 3
Croatia	18:00	SportKlub 12
Greece	19:00	COSMOTE Sport 3, Nova Sports Prime
Poland	18:00	SportKlub
Russia	19:00	Telekanal Futbol
Serbia	18:00	Arena Sport 1x2
Usa	12:00	SportPlus


	PAOK		Panathinaikos

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.6	5.75	Watch
	1.65	3.7	5.25
	1.64	3.75	5.4	Watch
	1.66	3.73	5.81
	1.65	3.6	5.53	Watch
	1.62	3.4	5
	1.65	3.62	5.42	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (1.65)	3.63 ↑ (3.55)	5.45 ↑ (5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

PAOK
57.1%

Draw
25.7%

Panathinaikos
17.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

55.7%

25.9%

18.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58%

24.9%

17.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

PAOK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Panathinaikos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for PAOK than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Panathinaikos than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	20%	20%

PAOK - Panathinaikos Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. PAOK will win (votes: 9 - 60%). Panathinaikos will win (votes: 3 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for PAOK: 35.2% – 84.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. PAOK (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Panathinaikos (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - PAOK (1.23) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

DC - Panathinaikos (2.12) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. PAOK (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Panathinaikos (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Tsiftsis A. (G) 23. Sastre J. 16. Kedziora T. 5. Michailidis G. 21. Baba A. R. 27. Ozdoev M. 20. Zafeiris C. 52. Chatsidis D. 65. Konstantelias G. 11. Taison (C) 19. Jeremejeff A.	40. Lafont A. (G) 2. Calabria D. 15. Ingason S. I. 26. Hernandez J. 77. Kyriakopoulos G. 21. Jedvaj T. 28. Pellistri F. 4. Chirivella P. 11. Bakasetas A. (C) 20. Taborda V. 7. Tetteh A.
Substitutes
22. Bianco A. 2. Camara M. 7. Giakoumakis G. 18. Ivanusec L. 6. Lovren D. 41. Monastirlis D. (G) 56. Mythou A. 1. Pavlenka J. (G) 10. Pelkas D. 35. Sanchez J. 32. Taylor G. 4. Vogliacco A.	10. Andino S. 16. Gnezda Cerin A. 88. Jagusic A. 70. Kotsaris K. (G) 27. Kotsiras G. 23. Pantelidis P. 72. Pantovic M. 8. Sanches R. 6. Siopis M. 19. Swiderski K. 5. Touba A. 9. Zaroury A.
Coaches
Lucescu R.	Benitez R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
28', Taison 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
63', Pellistri F. ↓, Zaroury A. ↑,
66', Jeremejeff A. ↓, Giakoumakis G. ↑,
66', Sastre J. ↓, Sanchez J. ↑,
68', Sanchez J. 🟨,
71', Chatsidis D. ↓, Pelkas D. ↑,
75', Tetteh A. ↓, Swiderski K. ↑,
75', Bakasetas A. ↓, Sanches R. ↑,
75', Taborda V. ↓, Andino S. ↑,
76', Zafeiris C. ↓, Camara M. ↑,
88', Chirivella P. ↓, Gnezda Cerin A. ↑,
90+3', Andino S. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, PAOK won 4.

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

In this match, PAOK is a strong favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, PAOK won 10 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 32:23. (average 1.6:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, PAOK won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:8. (average 1.6:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Panathinaikos	8	7	0	1	18:4	14	21
5	PAOK	8	5	0	3	16:11	5	15

Outrights of Greek Super League for now

Panathinaikos: 36.84% PAOK: 4.17%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- PAOK FC
Greek Super League
22.03.26	Volos - PAOK	2:1 ✺
15.03.26	PAOK - Levadiakos	3:0 ✺
08.03.26	Olympiacos Piraeus - PAOK	0:0 ✺
04.03.26	AE Kifisia - PAOK	1:4 ✺
01.03.26	PAOK - Asteras Tripolis	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LWTWW
- Panathinaikos FC
Greek Super League
22.03.26	Asteras Tripolis - Panathinaikos	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
19.03.26	Betis - Panathinaikos	4:0 ✺
Greek Super League
15.03.26	Panathinaikos - Panetolikos	0:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
12.03.26	Panathinaikos - Betis	1:0 ✺
Greek Super League
08.03.26	Levadiakos - Panathinaikos	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Greek Cup
11.02.26	PAOK - Panathinaikos	2:0
04.02.26	Panathinaikos - PAOK	0:1
Greek Super League
21.12.25	PAOK - Panathinaikos	2:0
09.11.25	Panathinaikos - PAOK	2:1
27.04.25	PAOK - Panathinaikos	2:1
13.04.25	Panathinaikos - PAOK	3:1
05.01.25	Panathinaikos - PAOK	2:1

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