Match Info

Super League - Round 4

Date: 20 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Toumba Stadium (Thessaloniki)

Referee: Sidiropoulos A. (Gre)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	SportPlus
Greece	Nova Sports Prime
Russia	Telekanal Futbol
Serbia	Nova Sport
Slovenia	SportKlub 2
Usa	SportPlus


	PAOK		Panetolikos

	1	X	2
	1.11	7	26	Watch
	1.14	7.4	22
	1.13	7.99	23.75
	1.29	4.09	19.23	Watch
	1.13	6.91	26	Watch
	1.17	6	19
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.16 ↓ (1.2)	6.57 ↑ (5.78)	22.66 ↑ (16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

PAOK
81.4%

Draw
14.4%

Panetolikos
4.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

78%

16.1%

5.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

PAOK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Panetolikos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	22.2%	0%

PAOK - Panetolikos Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. PAOK will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for PAOK: 50.6% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. PAOK (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 0.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +2 - Panetolikos (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - PAOK (1.58) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. PAOK (votes: 3 - 75%). Panetolikos (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pavlenka J. (G) 23. Sastre J. 16. Kedziora T. 6. Lovren D. 21. Baba A. R. 8. Meite S. 27. Ozdoev M. 14. Zivkovic A. (C) 10. Pelkas D. 11. Taison 7. Giakoumakis G.	13. Chaves L. (G) 45. Galiatsos D. 4. Garcia U. 16. Sielis C. (C) 15. Manrique C. 6. Kontouris S. 28. Kojic L. 8. Belevonis C. 22. Esteban Diego 71. Michalak K. 9. Aguirre J.
Substitutes
22. Bianco A. 2. Camara M. 9. Chalov F. 77. Despodov K. 88. Gugeshashvili L. (G) 18. Ivanusec L. 3. Kenny J. 65. Konstantelias G. 5. Michailidis G. 32. Taylor G. 99. Tsiftsis A. (G) 4. Vogliacco A.	23. Agapakis G. 14. Aleksic K. 41. Bouchalakis A. 20. Chura J. 17. Kakionis V. 3. Manos C. 77. Nikolaou E. 11. Nkololo B. 1. Pardalos M. (G) 7. Smyrlis L. 49. Stajic N. 12. Zivkovic Z. (G)
Coaches
Lucescu R.	Petrakis G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
5', Zivkovic A. 🟨,
7', Aguirre J. 🟨,
16', Pelkas D. ↓, Konstantelias G. ↑,
17', Galiatsos D. 🟨,
35', Sielis C. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
47', Manrique C. 🟨,
57', Belevonis C. ↓, Nkololo B. ↑,
57', Kojic L. ↓, Bouchalakis A. ↑,
70', Nkololo B. 🟨,
71', Ozdoev M. ↓, Camara M. ↑,
72', Zivkovic A. ↓, Despodov K. ↑,
72', Aguirre J. ↓, Aleksic K. ↑,
80', Galiatsos D. ↓, Stajic N. ↑,
80', Kontouris S. ↓, Nikolaou E. ↑,
82', Garcia U. 🟥,
86', Giakoumakis G. ↓, Chalov F. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, PAOK won 5.

PAOK is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Panetolikos has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, PAOK is the undisputed favorite.

There will not play in PAOK: Despodov K. (Inactive) Konstantelias G. (Inactive)

There will not play in Panetolikos: Mavrias Ch. (Muscle Injury) Mladen S. (Injury)

There are questionable in Panetolikos: Apostolopoulos A. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, PAOK won 20 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 43:9. (average 2.2:0.5).

Including home matches between the teams, PAOK won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 23:5. (average 2.3:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- PAOK FC
Greek Cup
17.09.25	Levadiakos - PAOK	4:1 ✺
Greek Super League
14.09.25	OFI - PAOK	1:2 ✺
31.08.25	PAOK - Atromitos Athens	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
28.08.25	PAOK - Rijeka	5:0 ✺
Greek Super League
24.08.25	PAOK - AEL Larissa	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LWWWW
- Panetolikos
Greek Cup
17.09.25	Panetolikos - Aris	0:1 ✺
Greek Super League
13.09.25	Panetolikos - Volos	1:2 ✺
30.08.25	Aris - Panetolikos	0:2 ✺
23.08.25	Panetolikos - Atromitos Athens	0:2 ✺
Greek Cup
18.08.25	Niki Volos - Panetolikos	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Greek Super League
15.12.24	Panetolikos - PAOK	0:1
25.08.24	PAOK - Panetolikos	2:0
25.02.24	Panetolikos - PAOK	1:3
12.11.23	PAOK - Panetolikos	2:1
22.12.22	Panetolikos - PAOK	0:2
20.08.22	PAOK - Panetolikos	1:0
12.01.22	PAOK - Panetolikos	2:0

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