Match Info

Champions League - League phase - Round 6

Date: 9 December 2025, Tuesday

Location: Stade Louis II (Monaco)

Referee: Makkelie D. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, Supersport Action
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Argentina	Disney+, FOX Sports 2
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	Monaco		Galatasaray

	1	X	2
	1.9	4	3.6
	1.98	3.9	3.6
	1.96	4	3.85
	1.99	3.99	3.61	Watch
	1.85	3.8	3.6
	1.9	4.12	3.81
	1.87	4	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↓ (2.22)	3.97 ↑ (3.95)	3.69 ↑ (2.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Monaco
49.9%

Draw
24.1%

Galatasaray
26%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.3%

24.3%

32.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.3%

24.3%

32.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Monaco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Monaco's performance.

Galatasaray has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Galatasaray might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Monaco than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Monaco that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Galatasaray than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Galatasaray could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.7%	17.6%	19.6%

Monaco - Galatasaray Predictions

Users Predictions: 49 users predict this event. Monaco will win (votes: 31 - 63.3%). Galatasaray will win (votes: 9 - 18.4%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 18.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Monaco: 49.8% – 76.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 21 Selected Experts predict this event. Monaco (votes: 14 - 66.7%). Galatasaray (votes: 2 - 9.5%). Tie (votes: 5 - 23.8%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.25, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 50%) .

DC - Galatasaray (1.83) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DNB - Galatasaray (2.56) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - Galatasaray (1.94) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 25 Selected Experts predict this event. Monaco (votes: 14 - 56%). Galatasaray (votes: 6 - 24%). Tie (votes: 5 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Hradecky L. (G) 2. Vanderson 5. Kehrer T. 22. Salisu M. 12. Caio Henrique 6. Zakaria D. (C) 15. Camara L. 11. Akliouche M. 18. Minamino T. 10. Golovin A. 9. Balogun F.	1. Cakir U. (G) 7. Sallai R. 6. Sanchez D. 42. Bardakci A. (C) 4. Jakobs I. 34. Torreira L. 8. Gabriel Sara 10. Sane L. 20. Gundogan I. 53. Yilmaz B. A. 45. Osimhen V.
Substitutes
14. Biereth M. 28. Coulibaly M. 17. Idumbo S. 19. Ilenikhena G. 16. Kohn P. (G) 50. Lienard Y. (G) 21. Michal L. 20. Ouattara K. 8. Pogba P. 4. Teze J.	11. Akgun Y. 65. Arac E. 72. Balta C. 30. Demir Y. 19. Guvenc G. (G) 9. Icardi M. 64. Kahraman Y. 67. Karasu E. C. 68. Kocak F. 18. Kutlu B. 21. Kutucu A. 12. Sen B. (G)
Coaches
Pocognoli S.	Buruk O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
50', Sanchez D. 🟨,
51', Zakaria D. (Penalty Awarded),
63', Gundogan I. ↓, Akgun Y. ↑,
68', Cakir U. ↓, Guvenc G. ↑,
68', 1 - 0, Balogun F. ⚽,
75', Minamino T. ↓, Teze J. ↑,
79', Jakobs I. ↓, Icardi M. ↑,
82', Golovin A. ↓, Ouattara K. ↑,
86', Balogun F. ↓, Biereth M. ↑,
88', Yilmaz B. A. 🟨,

Preview

Recent form of Monaco has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Galatasaray has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Monaco might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Monaco: Diatta K. (Inactive) Dier E. (Calf Injury) Fati A. (Muscle Injury) Ilenikhena G. (Knee Injury) Mawissa C. (Hamstring Injury)

There will not play in Galatasaray: Ayhan K. (Injury) Baltaci M. (Suspended) Elmali E. (Suspended) Gurpuz G. (Inactive) Karatas K. (Inactive) Lemina M. (Injury) Singo W. (Muscle Injury) Unyay A. (Red Card)

There are questionable in Monaco: Balogun F. (Groin Injury)

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Monaco
French Ligue 1
05.12.25	Brest - Monaco	1:0 ✺
29.11.25	Monaco - Paris Saint-Germain	1:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
26.11.25	Paphos - Monaco	2:2 ✺
French Ligue 1
22.11.25	Rennes - Monaco	4:1 ✺
08.11.25	Monaco - Lens	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LWTLL
- Galatasaray
Turkish Super League
05.12.25	Galatasaray - Samsunspor	3:2 ✺
01.12.25	Fenerbahçe - Galatasaray	1:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
25.11.25	Galatasaray - Saint-Gilloise	0:1 ✺
Turkish Super League
22.11.25	Galatasaray - Gençlerbirliği	3:2 ✺
09.11.25	Kocaelispor - Galatasaray	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WTLWL

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