Match Info

Baiano - Round 8

Date: 11 February 2026, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Governador Roberto Santos (Pituacu) (Salvador)


	Galícia		Jequié

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.2	2.12
	3.86	3.15	2.1
	3.68	2.89	2.1	Watch
	3.25	3	2
	3.75	2.86	2.06
	4	2.9	2.12
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.62 ↑ (3.57)	3 ↓ (3.25)	2.08 ↑ (1.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Galícia
25.3%

Draw
30.6%

Jequié
44.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.6%

28.2%

46.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.2%

26.6%

48.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Galícia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Jequié has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Galícia than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jequié than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	20%	40%

Galícia - Jequié Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Galícia will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Jequié will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rafael Puridade (G) 31. Adilson Bahia 2. Alex 5. Gabriel Vieira 6. Lucas Araujo 3. Luiz Bahia 8. Mayron 10. Rafael Mineiro (C) 7. Rogerinho 17. Sandro 4. William	12. Fabio (G) 14. Caique Baiano 7. Cassio 17. Claudinei 13. Diego Bolt 16. Gabriel Carioca 8. Jo 20. Nael 9. Recife T. 15. Sergio Baiano 3. William Mineiro (C)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
31', 🟨,
37', 0 - 1, Recife T. ⚽,
39', 🟨,
45+2', 1 - 1, Rafael Mineiro ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
59', 2 - 1, Rogerinho ⚽,
60', 🟨,
72', 🟨,
75', 🟨,
75', 🟨,
83', Rogerinho 🟥,
90', Nael 🟥,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 8 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Baiano (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Galícia has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Jequié is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Galícia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Jequié could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Galícia won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Including home match between the teams, Galícia won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Galícia EC
Brazilian Campeonato Baiano
07.02.26	Porto SC - Galícia	1:0 ✺
03.02.26	Galícia - Bahia de Feira	1:2 ✺
27.01.26	Galícia - Atlético de Alagoinhas	1:0 ✺
24.01.26	Jacuipense - Galícia	2:1 ✺
17.01.26	Bahia - Galícia	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLWLL
- AD Jequié
Brazilian Campeonato Baiano
07.02.26	Jequié - Vitória Salvador	2:2 ✺
04.02.26	Jacuipense - Jequié	0:2 ✺
29.01.26	Bahia de Feira - Jequié	1:2 ✺
22.01.26	Jequié - Atlético de Alagoinhas	4:1 ✺
18.01.26	Juazeirense - Jequié	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 TWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Baiano 2
17.06.23	Galícia - Jequié	0:0

Galícia - Jequié: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide