Match Info

J1 League - Round 31

Date: 23 September 2025, Tuesday

Location: Panasonic Stadium Suita (Suita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Stan Sport
Brazil	Canal GOAT
China	K-Ball
Hong-kong	myTV SUPER
India	FanCode, FanCode
Japan	DAZN Japan


	Gamba Osaka		Yokohama F. Marinos

	1	X	2
	1.56	4.1	4.75	Watch
	1.58	4.05	4.95	Watch
	1.65	4.32	5.49
	1.63	4.07	4.88	Watch
	1.67	4.2	4.64	Watch
	1.86	3.9	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (1.82)	4.11 ↑ (3.88)	4.75 ↑ (3.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gamba Osaka
57.1%

Draw
23%

Yokohama F. Marinos
19.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.6%

24.2%

24.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.1%

24%

23.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gamba Osaka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gamba Osaka's performance.

Yokohama F. Marinos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gamba Osaka than the current prediction. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yokohama F. Marinos than the current prediction. (+4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85%	5%	10%

Gamba Osaka - Yokohama F. Marinos Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Gamba Osaka (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .

AH -0.75 - Gamba Osaka (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Gamba Osaka will win (17 of 20 users predict this - 85%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.35% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Gamba Osaka (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Ichimori J. (G) 3. Handa R. 20. Nakatani S. 2. Fukuoka S. 4. Kurokawa K. 13. Abe S. 16. Suzuki T. 17. Yamashita R. 7. Usami T. 47. Juan Alano 23. Hummet D.	19. Park Il-gyu (G) 28. Yamane R. 44. Deng T. 33. Suwama K. 25. Suzuki T. 6. Watanabe K. 45. Jean Claude 20. Amano J. 30. Yuri Araujo 48. Tanimura K. 18. Onaiwu G.
Substitutes
1. Higashiguchi M. (G) 11. Jebali I. 15. Kishimoto T. 10. Kurata S. 27. Mito R. 51. Mitsuta M. 5. Miura G. 44. Okunuki K. 97. Welton	37. Croux J. 26. David D. 17. Inoue K. 16. Kato R. 8. Kida T. 31. Kimura R. (G) 35. Sekitomi K. 22. Tsunoda R. 14. Uenaka A.
Coaches
Poyatos D.	Oshima H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (3 - 1)
58', Yuri Araujo ↓, Uenaka A. ↑,
58', Onaiwu G. ↓, Croux J. ↑,
58', Suzuki T. ↓, Mitsuta M. ↑,
58', Yamashita R. ↓, Welton ↑,
60', 0 - 1, Amano J. ⚽,
66', 1 - 1, Mitsuta M. ⚽, Handa R. (A),
69', Yamane R. ↓, Kato R. ↑,
70', 2 - 1, Hummet D. ⚽, Juan Alano (A),
73', Tanimura K. ↓, David D. ↑,
73', Suzuki T. ↓, Tsunoda R. ↑,
79', 3 - 1, Usami T. ⚽,
85', Juan Alano ↓, Kishimoto T. ↑,
85', Usami T. ↓, Mito R. ↑,
86', Hummet D. ↓, Jebali I. ↑,
90+1', Deng T. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 10 and 17).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gamba Osaka won 2.

Gamba Osaka is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Yokohama FM has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Gamba Osaka may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Gamba Osaka is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Yokohama FM: Kimura T. (Knee Injury) Tono D. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Watanabe T. (Knee Injury)

We predict that Gamba Osaka will win today's game, with odds of 1.9.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Gamba Osaka won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 26:34. (average 1.3:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Gamba Osaka won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 13:18. (average 1.4:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gamba Osaka
AFC Champions League 2
17.09.25	Gamba Osaka - Eastern AA	3:1 ✺
Japan J1 League
13.09.25	Gamba Osaka - Urawa Red Diamonds	1:0 ✺
31.08.25	Shonan Bellmare - Gamba Osaka	4:5 ✺
23.08.25	Gamba Osaka - Yokohama FC	3:2 ✺
20.08.25	Machida Zelvia - Gamba Osaka	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WWWWL
- Yokohama F. Marinos
Japan J1 League
20.09.25	Yokohama F. Marinos - Avispa Fukuoka	2:0 ✺
13.09.25	Yokohama F. Marinos - Kawasaki Frontale	0:3 ✺
Japan J League Cup
07.09.25	Kashiwa Reysol - Yokohama F. Marinos	1:0 ✺
03.09.25	Yokohama F. Marinos - Kashiwa Reysol	1:4 ✺
Japan J1 League
30.08.25	Vissel Kobe - Yokohama F. Marinos	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J1 League
16.03.25	Yokohama F. Marinos - Gamba Osaka	2:0
Japan Emperors Cup
27.10.24	Yokohama F. Marinos - Gamba Osaka	2:3 ET
Japan J1 League
06.07.24	Gamba Osaka - Yokohama F. Marinos	4:0
10.04.24	Yokohama F. Marinos - Gamba Osaka	2:0
12.08.23	Yokohama F. Marinos - Gamba Osaka	2:1
20.05.23	Gamba Osaka - Yokohama F. Marinos	0:2
08.10.22	Yokohama F. Marinos - Gamba Osaka	0:2

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