The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Yokohama F. Marinos 41.7%
Draw 31.2%
Avispa Fukuoka 27.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
37.9%
28.2%
33.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37.4%
28.6%
34.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Yokohama F. Marinos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
Avispa Fukuoka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Avispa Fukuoka might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yokohama F. Marinos than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avispa Fukuoka than the current prediction. (+7.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Avispa Fukuoka could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
44.4%
44.4%
11.1%
Yokohama F. Marinos - Avispa Fukuoka Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Yokohama FM will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Avispa Fukuoka will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Confidence interval (95%) for Yokohama FM: 11.9% โ 76.9%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Yokohama FM (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
19. Park Il-gyu (G) 16. Kato R. 13. Quinones J. 22. Tsunoda R. 35. Sekitomi K. 8. Kida T. 45. Jean Claude 14. Uenaka A. 37. Croux J. 26. David D. 17. Inoue K.
31. Murakami M. (G) 37. Tashiro M. 3. Nara T. 77. Shichi T. 2. Yuzawa M. 88. Matsuoka D. 11. Miki T. 22. Fujimoto K. 8. Konno K. 14. Nago S. 9. Zahedi S.
Substitutes
20. Amano J. 31. Kimura R. (G) 43. Noguchi R. 18. Onaiwu G. 33. Suwama K. 48. Tanimura K. 6. Watanabe K. 28. Yamane R. 30. Yuri Araujo
15. Akino H. 20. Ando T. 13. Ben Khalifa N. 47. Hashimoto Y. 18. Iwasaki Y. 1. Nagaishi T. (G) 16. Oda I. 32. Sani Brown A. 17. Wellington
Coaches
Oshima H.
Kim Myong-hwi
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
20', 1 - 0, David D. ⚽, Croux J. (A),
26', Zahedi S. 🟨,
42', 2 - 0, Tsunoda R. ⚽, Croux J. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Nago S. ↓, Wellington ↑,
46', Nara T. ↓, Ando T. ↑,
54', Zahedi S. ↓, Ben Khalifa N. ↑,
55', David D. ↓, Tanimura K. ↑,
63', Yuzawa M. 🟨,
66', Fujimoto K. ↓, Akino H. ↑,
67', Uenaka A. ↓, Amano J. ↑,
67', Croux J. ↓, Yuri Araujo ↑,
69', Inoue K. 🟨,
76', Yuzawa M. ↓, Hashimoto Y. ↑,
81', Sekitomi K. ↓, Suwama K. ↑,
81', Kida T. ↓, Watanabe K. ↑,
83', Ben Khalifa N. 🟨,
Preview
A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 and 12).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Yokohama FM won 2.
Yokohama FM has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Avispa Fukuoka's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).
Yokohama FM may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
There will not play in Yokohama FM: Kimura T.
(Knee Injury)
Suzuki T.
(Red Card)
Tono D.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Watanabe T.
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Yokohama FM: Miyaichi R.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Avispa Fukuoka: Kamijima T.
(Injury)
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Yokohama FM won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 20:9. (average 1.7:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Yokohama FM won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:2. (average 1.7:0.3).
Last Results with these Odds
Yokohama F. Marinos - the odds 2.52 are the expected chance of winning is 37.89%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.
China
Japan
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Park Il-gyu (G) 
Quinones J. 
Jean Claude 
Croux J. 
David D. 
Zahedi S. 
Yuri Araujo 
Ben Khalifa N. 
Kim Myong-hwi 
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