Match Info

J1 League - Round 1

Date: 7 August 2026, Friday

Location: Panasonic Stadium Suita (Suita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Stan Sport
Japan	DAZN Japan
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Gamba Osaka		Urawa Red Diamonds

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.1	3.2	Watch
	2.30	3.20	3.10
	2.32	3.15	2.98	Watch
	2.47	3.44	3.1
	2.39	3.29	3.03	Watch
	2.35	3.4	3
	2.26	3.15	3.43	Watch
	2.37	3.25	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↓ (2.37)	3.25 ↓ (3.31)	3.11 ↑ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Gamba Osaka
40.5%

Draw
29.1%

Urawa Red Diamonds
30.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.9%

28.6%

31.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gamba Osaka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Urawa Red Diamonds has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
36.4%	36.4%	27.3%

Gamba Osaka - Urawa Red Diamonds Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Gamba Osaka will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Urawa will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gamba Osaka: 8% – 64.8%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.75 - Gamba Osaka (2.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Gamba Osaka (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
18. Araki R. (G) 15. Kishimoto T. 19. Ikegaya G. 4. Nakatani S. (C) 21. Hatsuse R. 13. Abe S. 27. Mito R. 17. Yamashita R. 11. Jebali I. 8. Meshino R. 23. Hummet D.	1. Nishikawa S. (G) 3. Danilo Boza 2. Miyamoto Y. (C) 15. Kudo K. 7. Kaneko T. 33. Sasa S. 25. Yasui K. 18. Hayashi K. 10. Matheus Savio 13. Watanabe R. 17. Komori H.
Substitutes
2. Fukuoka S. 22. Ichimori J. (G) 47. Nakano S. 38. Nawata G. 67. Sasaki S. 16. Suzuki T. 14. Uenaka A. 7. Usami T. 97. Welton	23. Fukui K. (G) 39. Hayakawa J. 36. Hidano R. 42. Minamino H. 8. Mizunuma K. 88. Naganuma Y. 5. Nemoto K. 45. Onaiwu A. 37. Ueki H.
Coaches
Myojin T.	Cho K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
11', Matheus Savio 🟨,
17', 0 - 1, Komori H. ⚽, Kaneko T. (A),
22', Hayashi K. 🟨,
22', Matheus Savio 🟨,
28', Cho K. 🟨,
36', 1 - 1, Jebali I. ⚽, Abe S. (A),
45+7', 2 - 1, Hummet D. ⚽, Kishimoto T. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 2)
49', Kudo K. 🟨,
59', Hummet D. ↓, Uenaka A. ↑,
60', Sasa S. ↓, Minamino H. ↑,
61', Komori H. ↓, Onaiwu A. ↑,
66', Hayashi K. ↓, Naganuma Y. ↑,
77', Abe S. ↓, Suzuki T. ↑,
77', Meshino R. ↓, Welton ↑,
78', 2 - 2, Kaneko T. ⚽, Watanabe R. (A),
80', 2 - 3, Minamino H. ⚽, Watanabe R. (A),
83', Onaiwu A. 🟨,
84', 3 - 3, Welton ⚽, Jebali I. (A),
86', 4 - 3, Uenaka A. ⚽, Yamashita R. (A),
87', Kaneko T. ↓, Mizunuma K. ↑,
87', Yasui K. ↓, Ueki H. ↑,
90', Yamashita R. ↓, Nakano S. ↑,
90', Hatsuse R. ↓, Sasaki S. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gamba Osaka won 3.

Gamba Osaka may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There are questionable in Gamba Osaka: Fukuoka S. (Muscle Injury) Handa R. (Knee Injury) Ichimori J. (Finger Injury) Sasaki S. (Muscle Injury) Yokoi Y. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Urawa: Fukui K. (Elbow Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Gamba Osaka won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 19:30. (average 1:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Gamba Osaka won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 6:19. (average 0.5:1.7).

Outrights of Japan J1 League for now

Urawa Reds: 2.04% Gamba Osaka: 0.79%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Gamba Osaka	4	1	2	1	6:7	-1	5
17	Urawa Reds	4	1	0	3	8:13	-5	3

Last Results with these Odds

Gamba Osaka - the odds 2.37 are the expected chance of winning is 39.9%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Urawa Red Diamonds - the odds 3 are the expected chance of winning is 31.52%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gamba Osaka
Club Friendly
24.07.26	Zweigen Kanazawa - Gamba Osaka	0:6 ✺
15.07.26	Red Bull Salzburg - Gamba Osaka	0:3 ✺
11.07.26	Sparta Prague - Gamba Osaka	3:0 ✺
Japan J1 League
06.06.26	Tokyo Verdy - Gamba Osaka	2:4 ✺
30.05.26	Gamba Osaka - Tokyo Verdy	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WWLWT
- Urawa Red Diamonds
Club Friendly
01.08.26	Urawa Red Diamonds - Omiya Ardija	2:2 ✺
Japan J1 League
06.06.26	Urawa Red Diamonds - Fagiano Okayama	0:2 ✺
31.05.26	Fagiano Okayama - Urawa Red Diamonds	1:1 ✺
22.05.26	Machida Zelvia - Urawa Red Diamonds	1:0 ✺
16.05.26	Urawa Red Diamonds - Tokyo	0:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 TLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J1 League
13.09.25	Gamba Osaka - Urawa Red Diamonds	1:0
06.05.25	Urawa Red Diamonds - Gamba Osaka	0:1
Club Friendly
28.01.25	Gamba Osaka - Urawa Red Diamonds	2:4
Japan J1 League
14.09.24	Gamba Osaka - Urawa Red Diamonds	0:1
20.04.24	Urawa Red Diamonds - Gamba Osaka	0:1
24.09.23	Gamba Osaka - Urawa Red Diamonds	1:3
Japan J League Cup
10.09.23	Urawa Red Diamonds - Gamba Osaka	3:0

Upcoming Matches