Match Info

AFRICA: Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification - Round 4

Date: 14 October 2024, Monday

Location: Ben M'Hamed El Abdi Stadium (El Jadida)

Referee: Karboubi B. (Mar)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
Gambia	GRTS Gambia
Germany	Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Madagascar	MATV
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV


	Gambia		Madagascar

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2	3	3.5
	2.05	3.2	3.75	Watch
	2.08	3.15	4.12
	2.04	3.09	3.96	Watch
	2	3.34	3.75	Watch
	2.05	3.2	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↑ (1.8)	3.16 ↑ (3.1)	3.81 ↓ (4.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gambia
45.9%

Draw
29.5%

Madagascar
24.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.5%

29.3%

20.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gambia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Madagascar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
15.4%	15.4%	69.2%

Gambia - Madagascar Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Gambia will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). Madagascar will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Madagascar: 44.1% – 94.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Jarju E. (G) Paide Linnameeskond 15. Ceesay J. Cesena 5. Colley O. (C) PAOK 12. Gomez J. Odense 13. Touray I. Stockport County 16. Manneh A. Odense 8. Adams E. Derby 20. Minteh Y. Brighton 17. Sowe A. Rizespor 7. Fadera A. Como 10. Barrow M. Al Taawon	23. Laiton S. (G) 12. Rabemananjara R. 20. Demoleon L. Budoni Calcio 18. Tremoulet S. Ararat Yerevan 3. Boto K. Pau 7. Raveloson R. (C) Auxerre 6. Ilaimaharitra M. 14. Couturier C. Villefranche 9. Randrianantenaina A. El Gouna 19. Caddy W. Lausanne Ouchy 13. Ponti R. Orleans
Substitutes
23. Badamosi M. St. Liege 2. Bajo M. Dun. Streda 9. Camara S. Racing Santander 21. Ceesay A. Paide Linnameeskond 24. Darboe E. Frosinone 14. Gaye D. KFUM Oslo 3. Jallow A. Metz 4. Khan S. Tranmere 11. Mendy J. Wrexham 6. Njie M. KFUM Oslo 18. Saidy L. Real Banjul 22. Sibi S. (G) Virtus Verona	15. Amada I. Ratchaburi 2. Andriamanjato Rojo 22. Fontaine N. RAAL La Louviere 21. Fontaine T. Sochaux 1. Gardies T. (G) 4. Jean-Pierre M. Orleans 17. Lapoussin L. Royale Union SG 8. Millimono T. Othellos Athienou 11. Raheriniaina E. H. 10. Rakotoharimalala N. Ratchaburi 16. Rakotohasimbola R. (G) 5. Razafindraibeharimihanta R.
Coaches
McKinstry J.	Rakotondrabe R. F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
27', Laiton S. 🟨,
28', Barrow M. (Pen),
30', Ceesay J. 🟨,
38', Fadera A. 🟨,
40', Caddy W. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Fadera A. ↓, Jallow A. ↑,
61', Randrianantenaina A. ↓, Lapoussin L. ↑,
62', 1 - 0, Barrow M. ⚽, Minteh Y. (A),
70', Sowe A. ↓, Badamosi M. ↑,
70', Couturier C. ↓, Amada I. ↑,
71', Ponti R. ↓, Raheriniaina E. H. ↑,
71', Caddy W. ↓, Rakotoharimalala N. ↑,
82', Minteh Y. ↓, Bajo M. ↑,
88', Ilaimaharitra M. ↓, Andriamanjato Rojo ↑,
88', Adams E. ↓, Darboe E. ↑,

Preview

Gambia will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Gambia won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gambia
Africa Cup of Nations
11.10.24	Madagascar - Gambia	1:1 ✺
08.09.24	Gambia - Tunisia	1:2 ✺
04.09.24	Comoros - Gambia	1:1 ✺
FIFA World Cup
11.06.24	Gabon - Gambia	3:2 ✺
08.06.24	Gambia - Seychelles	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 TLTLW
- Madagascar
Africa Cup of Nations
11.10.24	Madagascar - Gambia	1:1 ✺
09.09.24	Madagascar - Comoros	1:1 ✺
05.09.24	Tunisia - Madagascar	1:0 ✺
FIFA World Cup
11.06.24	Madagascar - Mali	0:0 ✺
07.06.24	Madagascar - Comoros	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 TTLTW

Latest Head to Head

Africa Cup of Nations
11.10.24	Madagascar - Gambia	1:1

Gambia - Madagascar: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide