Match Info

AFRICA: Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification - Round 3

Date: 11 October 2024, Friday

Location: Mahamasina Municipal Stadium (Antananarivo)

Referee: Ali Sabilla C. (Uga)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
Gambia	GRTS Gambia
Madagascar	MATV


	Madagascar		Gambia

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.8	2.85	2.4
	3	2.95	2.5	Watch
	3.03	2.9	2.65
	2.94	2.91	2.63	Watch
	2.62	3	2.7
	3.01	3.11	2.54	Watch
	3	2.95	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.91 ↓ (3.1)	2.95 ↓ (3)	2.56 ↑ (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Madagascar
32%

Draw
31.6%

Gambia
36.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.3%

30.3%

40.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Madagascar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Gambia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	70%	5%

Madagascar - Gambia Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Madagascar will win (votes: 5 - 26.3%). Gambia will win (votes: 1 - 5.3%). It will Tie (votes: 13 - 68.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 47.5% – 89.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Laiton S. (G) 3. Boto K. Pau 18. Tremoulet S. Ararat Yerevan 20. Demoleon L. Budoni Calcio 12. Rabemananjara R. 7. Raveloson R. Auxerre 15. Amada I. (C) Ratchaburi 14. Couturier C. Villefranche 13. Rajaonarivelo R. H. 19. Caddy W. Lausanne Ouchy 11. Raheriniaina E. H.	1. Jarju E. (G) Paide Linnameeskond 15. Ceesay J. Cesena 12. Gomez J. Odense 5. Colley O. (C) PAOK 13. Touray I. Stockport County 4. Khan S. Tranmere 8. Adams E. Derby 20. Minteh Y. Brighton 3. Jallow A. Metz 7. Fadera A. Como 23. Badamosi M. St. Liege
Substitutes
2. Andria Ohod 22. Fontaine N. RAAL La Louviere 1. Gardies T. (G) 25. Gueguen D. 6. Ilaimaharitra M. 4. Jean-Pierre M. Orleans 17. Lapoussin L. Royale Union SG 8. Millimono T. Othellos Athienou 10. Rakotoharimalala N. Ratchaburi 16. Rakotohasimbola R. (G) 9. Randrianantenaina A. El Gouna 5. Razafindraibeharimihanta R.	2. Bajo M. Dun. Streda 10. Barrow M. Al Taawon 99. Ceesay A. Paide Linnameeskond 24. Darboe E. Frosinone 14. Gaye D. KFUM Oslo 16. Manneh A. Odense 11. Mendy J. Wrexham 6. Njie M. KFUM Oslo 18. Saidy L. Real Banjul 22. Sibi S. (G) Virtus Verona 9. Sicu CE Europa 17. Sowe A. Rizespor
Coaches
Rakotondrabe R. F.	McKinstry J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
25', Raveloson R. 🟨,
45+2', 1 - 0, Couturier C. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Badamosi M. ↓, Ceesay A. ↑,
46', Khan S. ↓, Sowe A. ↑,
71', Raheriniaina E. H. ↓, Fontaine N. ↑,
71', Ceesay J. ↓, Barrow M. ↑,
72', Adams E. ↓, Manneh A. ↑,
84', Boto K. ↓, Millimono T. ↑,
84', Couturier C. ↓, Ilaimaharitra M. ↑,
84', Caddy W. ↓, Rakotoharimalala N. ↑,
84', Fadera A. ↓, Camara S. ↑,
85', Manneh A. 🟨,
90+6', Amada I. ↓, Andriamanjato Rojo ↑,
90+7', 1 - 1, Minteh Y. ⚽,

Preview

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Madagascar
Africa Cup of Nations
09.09.24	Madagascar - Comoros	1:1 ✺
05.09.24	Tunisia - Madagascar	1:0 ✺
FIFA World Cup
11.06.24	Madagascar - Mali	0:0 ✺
07.06.24	Madagascar - Comoros	2:1 ✺
Friendly
25.03.24	Madagascar - Rwanda	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 TLTWL
- Gambia
Africa Cup of Nations
08.09.24	Gambia - Tunisia	1:2 ✺
04.09.24	Comoros - Gambia	1:1 ✺
FIFA World Cup
11.06.24	Gabon - Gambia	3:2 ✺
08.06.24	Gambia - Seychelles	5:1 ✺
Africa Cup of Nations
23.01.24	Gambia - Cameroon	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LTLWL

Madagascar - Gambia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide