The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ganzhou Ruishi 23%
Draw 29.8%
Guangxi Hengchen 47.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
31.2%
31.2%
37.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
31%
31%
37.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ganzhou Ruishi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ganzhou Ruishi's form might have worsened.
Guangxi Hengchen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Guangxi Hengchen's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ganzhou Ruishi than the current prediction. (+8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ganzhou Ruishi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guangxi Hengchen than the current prediction. (-9.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Guangxi Hengchen, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Guangxi Hengchen (votes: 2 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
42. Yang Xinyang (G) 17. Fu Jie 16. Geng Zhiqing 8. Liao Haochuan 4. Huang Yuxuan 21. Lu Yuefeng 19. Guo Yongchu 18. Li Jingrun 22. Li Yan 9. Zhou Bingxu (C) 7. Wei Zhenghong
22. Shen Bokai (C) 32. Li S. 4. Fang Zhengyang 27. Zhang Zijian 3. Yuan X. 28. Wang Haozhi 8. Wang H. 7. Gao Yixuan 42. Ji Tianle 17. Zhang Huajun 11. Fei Ernanduo
Substitutes
1. Cao Zheng (G) 60. Fan Wensheng 6. Feng Zeyuan 56. Liu Guanjun 46. Liu Shuai 47. Pang Tong 41. Wu Qinghua 49. Wu Xinze 24. Yang Yixuan 11. Yan Tianyi 58. Yu Keli 23. Zhang Peiming
19. Cen Liyi 47. Chen D. 45. Dai Jiatong (G) 33. Feng Yifan 58. Huang Y. 25. Ren K. 15. Wang Tianqing 18. Wei Chaolun 29. Yao Zixuan
Coaches
Stancic D.
Liu Junwei
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
36', Fang Zhengyang 🟨,
38', 0 - 1, Fei Ernanduo ⚽, Zhang Huajun (A),
39', Fu Jie 🟨,
45', Wang H. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
52', 0 - 2, Ji Tianle ⚽, Zhang Huajun (A),
57', Guo Yongchu ↓, Yu Keli ↑,
58', Wei Zhenghong ↓, Liu Shuai ↑,
58', Lu Yuefeng ↓, Yan Tianyi ↑,
58', Wang H. ↓, Huang Y. ↑,
67', Fu Jie ↓, Wu Xinze ↑,
74', Fei Ernanduo ↓, Yao Zixuan ↑,
74', Zhang Huajun ↓, Cen Liyi ↑,
78', Geng Zhiqing ↓, Liu Guanjun ↑,
79', Yu Keli 🟨,
84', Liu Guanjun 🟨,
86', Gao Yixuan ↓, Ren K. ↑,
86', Ji Tianle ↓, Feng Yifan ↑,
87', Huang Y. 🟨,
90+5', Shen Bokai 🟨,
Preview
Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 8 in the zone Yi League (Relegation Group: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Yi League (Promotion Group: )).
Ganzhou Ruishi has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Guangxi Hengchen is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
In this match, Guangxi Hengchen is a strong favorite.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ganzhou Ruishi won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.