Match Info

League One - Round 26

Date: 11 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Guangxi Sports Center (Nanning) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
China	19:00	Migu


	Guangxi Hengchen		Shenzhen Juniors

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.78	3.50	3.60
	1.71	3.65	4.10
	1.83	3.77	4.16
	1.99	3.6	3.47	Watch
	1.80	3.65	4.00
	1.83	3.76	3.91	Watch
	1.81	3.60	3.70
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↓ (2.04)	3.65 ↑ (3.5)	3.85 ↑ (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guangxi Hengchen
50.7%

Draw
25.3%

Shenzhen Juniors
24%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

44.6%

26%

29.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.3%

25.6%

28.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guangxi Hengchen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Guangxi Hengchen's performance.

Shenzhen Juniors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Shenzhen Juniors might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guangxi Hengchen than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Guangxi Hengchen that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shenzhen Juniors than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Guangxi Hengchen - Shenzhen Juniors Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
41. Liang Kun (G) 32. Li S. 5. Luan H. 6. Chen G. 3. Yuan X. (C) 21. Dai Ming 23. Khedrup Lobsang 25. Ren K. 10. Ardazishvili R. 11. Lapoussin L. 36. Mbo N.	23. Cheng Yuelei (G) 13. Sun Qinhan 20. Dugalic R. (C) 16. Zhou Xin 37. Shang Yin 19. Su Yuliang 6. Zhong Haoran 28. Liu Xiaolong 25. Rodrigo Henrique 18. Shi Yucheng 38. Nouble J.
Substitutes
28. Ablimit Subi 19. Cen Liyi 7. Chen D. 42. Ji Tianle 24. Ji X. 44. Liang Yibin 20. Lu Junhui 16. Ning W. 12. Yao-hsing Yu 39. Zhang Jianzhi (G) 4. Zhang Z. 27. Zhang Zijian	21. Chen Y. 2. Chen Yuhao 30. Gan Xianhao 14. Huang Jiajun 11. Huang K. 17. Hu Ming 24. Leung Nok-Hang 29. Lin Zefeng 41. Liu Haoran (G) 15. Su Yuanjie 33. Zhao Yingjie 32. Zhu G.
Coaches
Liu Junwei	Pirri D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
23', 0 - 1, Rodrigo Henrique ⚽, Nouble J. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Luan H. ↓, Zhang Zijian ↑,
47', Shi Yucheng 🟨,
58', Dai Ming ↓, Ji X. ↑,
62', Liu Xiaolong ↓, Zhu G. ↑,
62', Shi Yucheng ↓, Gan Xianhao ↑,
64', Khedrup Lobsang ↓, Ablimit Subi ↑,
64', Ren K. ↓, Liang Yibin ↑,
72', Sun Qinhan ↓, Chen Yuhao ↑,
78', Zhong Haoran ↓, Zhao Yingjie ↑,
78', Nouble J. ↓, Leung Nok-Hang ↑,
79', Zhu G. 🟨,
87', Mbo N. ↓, Ning W. ↑,
90', 1 - 1, Lapoussin L. ⚽, Zhang Zijian (A),

Preview

One of the standout fixtures of the round, featuring two top-tier sides (ranked 3rd and 4th).

Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

Guangxi Hengchen is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Guangxi Hengchen has recorded 1 win, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 4:3 (averaging 1.3:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Guangxi Hengchen against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 2:2 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Guangxi Hengchen	28	13	8	7	45:33	12	47
4	Shenzhen Juniors	28	12	10	6	42:32	10	46

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guangxi Hengchen
Chinese Jia League
07.10.26	Foshan Nanshi - Guangxi Hengchen	1:0 ✺
25.09.26	Wuxi Wugou - Guangxi Hengchen	0:1 ✺
18.09.26	Nantong Zhiyun - Guangxi Hengchen	0:1 ✺
12.09.26	Guangxi Hengchen - Yanbian Longding	2:1 ✺
06.09.26	Guangxi Hengchen - Shijiazhuang Gongfu	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 LWWWL
- Shenzhen Juniors FC
Chinese Jia League
07.10.26	Shenzhen Juniors - Guangdong GZ-Power	1:4 ✺
19.09.26	Shenzhen Juniors - Changchun Yatai	1:1 ✺
13.09.26	Shijiazhuang Gongfu - Shenzhen Juniors	0:0 ✺
06.09.26	Shenzhen Juniors - Meizhou Hakka	5:1 ✺
29.08.26	Foshan Nanshi - Shenzhen Juniors	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Jia League
14.06.26	Shenzhen Juniors - Guangxi Hengchen	1:1
Chinese Yi League
14.07.24	Guangxi Hengchen - Shenzhen Juniors	2:2
04.05.24	Shenzhen Juniors - Guangxi Hengchen	0:1

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