Match Info

CHINA: FA Cup - 1/32-finals

Date: 19 May 2024, Sunday

Location: Dingnan Football Youth Training Center (Dingnan)


	Ganzhou Ruishi		Liaoning Tieren

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.6	3.25	1.85
	3.75	3.2	1.91
	3.84	3.28	1.95	Watch
	3.65	3.55	1.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.71 ↑ (3.65)	3.32 ↓ (3.33)	1.89 ↓ (1.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ganzhou Ruishi
24.5%

Draw
27.4%

Liaoning Tieren
48.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.9%

27.3%

47.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27%

25.2%

44.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ganzhou Ruishi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Liaoning Tieren has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ganzhou Ruishi than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Liaoning Tieren than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Ganzhou Ruishi - Liaoning Tieren Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
25', 0 - 1, Jiaming Z. ⚽,
39', 0 - 2, Jiaming Z. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
58', 1 - 2, Yang Pengju ⚽,
90+2', 2 - 2, Zhou Z. ⚽,
Penalties (3 - 1)
1, Gui Zihan (Pen),
1, Chen Rong (Pen),
2, Jiaming Z. (Pen),
2, Chen Guokang (Pen),
3, Wang Tianci (Pen),
3, (Pen),
4, (Pen),
4, (Pen),

Preview

Recent matches Ganzhou Ruishi is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Liaoning Tieren is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Liaoning Tieren will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ganzhou Ruishi
Chinese Yi League
12.05.24	Ganzhou Ruishi - Quanzhou Yassin	5:0 ✺
05.05.24	Ganzhou Ruishi - Guangdong GZ-Power	0:2 ✺
28.04.24	Hunan Billows - Ganzhou Ruishi	3:1 ✺
16.04.24	Shanghai Port B - Ganzhou Ruishi	2:2 ✺
10.04.24	Ganzhou Ruishi - Kunming City	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WLLTW
- Liaoning Tieren FC
Chinese Jia League
12.05.24	Heilongjiang Ice City - Liaoning Tieren	2:0 ✺
05.05.24	Liaoning Tieren - Shijiazhuang Gongfu	0:2 ✺
28.04.24	Yanbian Longding - Liaoning Tieren	1:1 ✺
20.04.24	Liaoning Tieren - Jiangxi Lushan	2:1 ✺
13.04.24	Dalian Young Boy - Liaoning Tieren	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLTWL

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