Match Info

CHINA: Yi League - Round 10

Date: 2 June 2024, Sunday

Location: Dingnan Football Youth Training Center (Dingnan)

Referee: Wang X. (Chn)


	Ganzhou Ruishi		Shenzhen Juniors

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.66	3.3	4.6
				Watch
	1.69	3.26	4.63
	1.69	3.26	4.64
	1.7	3.5	4.5
	1.67	3.52	4.71
	1.68	3.4	4.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (1.96)	3.37 ↑ (3.3)	4.65 ↑ (3.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ganzhou Ruishi
53.8%

Draw
26.8%

Shenzhen Juniors
19.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.6%

27.7%

25.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.9%

27.3%

26.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ganzhou Ruishi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ganzhou Ruishi's performance.

Shenzhen Juniors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Shenzhen Juniors might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ganzhou Ruishi than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ganzhou Ruishi that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shenzhen Juniors than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Shenzhen Juniors could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ganzhou Ruishi - Shenzhen Juniors Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
39. Li Yihao (G) 12. Zhang Chenlong 3. Zhang Tianlong 28. Li Lingwei 31. Liu Shangkun 53. Huang Keqi 16. Li E. 15. Wang Peng 22. Wu J. 9. Chen Guokang 11. Chen Rong	41. Wang Shihan (G) 16. Zhou Xin 33. Liu S. 26. Mai Sijing 23. Li Bin 29. Lin Zefeng 6. Liang Rifu 4. Gao K. 20. Men Yang 9. Zhuang Jiajie 18. Shi Yucheng
Substitutes
54. Cao Jinlong 30. Chen Zewen 23. Cui Wei 17. Gan Xianhao 7. Guo Yi 18. Huo Liang 10. Leng Jixuan 21. Liu Xiaolong 1. Rong Shang (G) 4. Yang Pengju 19. Zhou Z.	15. Chen Weiqi 21. Chen Y. 31. Chen Zirong (G) 30. Ezmat M. 28. Li Yingjian 1. Long Wenhao (G) 11. Lu J. 56. Wang Jiakun 55. Wen Ruijie 59. Wen Y. 10. Xie Baoxian 19. Zheng Zhiming
Coaches
Xie Yuxin	Zhang Jun

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
13', Gao K. 🟨,
19', Huang Keqi 🟨,
27', 0 - 1, Zhuang Jiajie ⚽, Gao K. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Wang Peng ↓, Guo Yi ↑,
46', Chen Rong ↓, Leng Jixuan ↑,
60', Zhuang Jiajie ↓, Xie Baoxian ↑,
60', Liang Rifu ↓, Chen Y. ↑,
62', Wu J. ↓, Cui Wei ↑,
66', Mai Sijing ↓, Chen Weiqi ↑,
70', 0 - 2, Chen Weiqi ⚽,
72', Chen Guokang ↓, Chen Zewen ↑,
75', Li E. ↓, Yang Pengju ↑,
87', Gao K. ↓, Li Yingjian ↑,
87', Lin Zefeng ↓, Lu J. ↑,
90+1', 0 - 3, Men Yang ⚽, Lu J. (A),

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ganzhou Ruishi
Chinese Yi League
26.05.24	Guangxi Lanhang - Ganzhou Ruishi	1:0 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
19.05.24	Ganzhou Ruishi - Liaoning Tieren	3:2 penalties ✺
Chinese Yi League
12.05.24	Ganzhou Ruishi - Quanzhou Yassin	5:0 ✺
05.05.24	Ganzhou Ruishi - Guangdong GZ-Power	0:2 ✺
28.04.24	Hunan Billows - Ganzhou Ruishi	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LWWLL
- Shenzhen Juniors FC
Chinese Yi League
25.05.24	Shenzhen Juniors - Hunan Billows	3:3 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
17.05.24	Shenzhen Juniors - Qingdao Red Lions	1:2 ✺
Chinese Yi League
11.05.24	Kunming City - Shenzhen Juniors	1:4 ✺
04.05.24	Shenzhen Juniors - Guangxi Hengchen	0:1 ✺
28.04.24	Wenzhou Professional - Shenzhen Juniors	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 TLWLW

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