Match Info

National League - Round 6

Date: 30 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Gateshead International Stadium (Gateshead)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DAZN
Austria	DAZN
Bolivia	DAZN
Brazil	DAZN Brasil
Canada	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
Ecuador	DAZN
France	DAZN France
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Paraguay	DAZN
Portugal	DAZN / App
Spain	DAZN Espana
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	DAZN
United-kingdom	DAZN, DAZN UK
Uruguay	DAZN
Usa	DAZN USA
Venezuela	DAZN


	Gateshead		Aldershot Town

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.6	2.7
	2.15	3.5	2.7
	2.28	3.7	2.72
	2.35	4.02	2.66
	1.65	4.24	4.26	Watch
	2.25	3.4	2.9
	2.25	3.64	2.76
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↓ (2.38)	3.73 ↑ (3.61)	2.96 ↑ (2.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Gateshead
43.2%

Draw
25.1%

Aldershot Town
31.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.9%

25.7%

35.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9%

25.7%

35.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gateshead has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Aldershot Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gateshead than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aldershot Town than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Gateshead - Aldershot Town Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Gateshead (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Aldershot (2.01) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Gateshead (votes: 1 - 50%). Aldershot (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Brooks T. (G) 7. Adom K. 32. Chapman H. 3. Ferguson D. 6. Flint W. 21. Hurst K. 20. John F. 2. Johnson C. 14. Nouble F. 26. Pani C. 5. Richardson K.	1. Dewhurst M. (G) 30. Abrahams T. 10. Barrett J. 32. Clarridge J. 7. Hargreaves C. (C) 19. Hill R. 14. Meerholz J. 25. Nightingale W. 28. Taylor A. 34. Tetek D. 9. Thomas K.
Substitutes
35. Bone C. 23. Fitzhugh E. 17. Home J. 8. Sheaf M. 33. Shelvey G. (G) 39. Thompson O. 31. Williams B.	12. Anderson K. 23. Ghandour H. 17. Henry J. 24. Mullins M. 16. Nash P. (G) 18. Rai K. 6. Widdrington T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
5', 1 - 0, Hurst K. ⚽,
19', 1 - 1, Thomas K. ⚽,
27', 1 - 2, Hargreaves C. ⚽,
35', Abrahams T. 🟨,
45', Flint W. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
58', Taylor A. 🟨,
60', 2 - 2, Hurst K. ⚽,
61', 3 - 2, Chapman H. ⚽,
63', Flint W. ↓, Home J. ↑,
69', Abrahams T. ↓, Ghandour H. ↑,
70', Chapman H. ↓, Sheaf M. ↑,
72', Clarridge J. 🟨,
77', Tetek D. 🟨,
77', John F. 🟨,
77', 3 - 3, Ghandour H. ⚽,
80', Barrett J. ↓, Henry J. ↑,
87', Adom K. 🟨,
88', Sheaf M. 🟨,
89', Hurst K. ↓, Bone C. ↑,
90', Nouble F. ↓, Thompson O. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gateshead won 1.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Recently, Aldershot has had a series of home games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Gateshead won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 23:23. (average 1.3:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Gateshead won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:10. (average 1.1:1.1).

Last Results with these Odds

Gateshead - the odds 2.38 are the expected chance of winning is 38.9%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Aldershot Town - the odds 2.62 are the expected chance of winning is 35.39%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gateshead
English National League
25.08.25	Yeovil Town - Gateshead	3:4 ✺
23.08.25	Gateshead - Tamworth	2:1 ✺
20.08.25	Rochdale - Gateshead	4:0 ✺
16.08.25	Eastleigh - Gateshead	0:2 ✺
English National League Cup
13.08.25	Gateshead - Newcastle United U21	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WWLWL
- Aldershot Town
English National League
25.08.25	Aldershot Town - Morecambe	4:0 ✺
23.08.25	Solihull Moors - Aldershot Town	1:5 ✺
20.08.25	Aldershot Town - Eastleigh	2:3 ✺
16.08.25	Aldershot Town - Boston United	2:3 ✺
English National League Cup
12.08.25	Aldershot Town - Brighton & Hove Albion U21	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

English National League
08.03.25	Aldershot Town - Gateshead	3:1
16.11.24	Gateshead - Aldershot Town	2:2
17.04.24	Gateshead - Aldershot Town	0:1
16.09.23	Aldershot Town - Gateshead	1:1
25.03.23	Aldershot Town - Gateshead	2:3
03.12.22	Gateshead - Aldershot Town	0:2
02.03.19	Aldershot Town - Gateshead	0:2

Upcoming Matches