Match Info

National League - Round 4

Date: 23 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Gateshead International Stadium (Gateshead)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Gateshead		Tamworth

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.4	2.45
	2.45	3.25	2.4
	2.58	3.5	2.45
	2.67	3.77	2.42
	2.62	3.20	2.62	Watch
	2.5	3.25	2.62
	2.56	3.44	2.45
	2.55	3.45	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.56 ↑ (2.51)	3.41 ↓ (3.43)	2.5 ↓ (2.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gateshead
36%

Draw
27.1%

Tamworth
36.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.6%

26.8%

36.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.1%

25.7%

35.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gateshead has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Tamworth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gateshead than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tamworth than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Gateshead - Tamworth Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Gateshead (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Shelvey G. (G) 7. Adom K. 32. Chapman H. 6. Flint W. 18. Grayson J. 17. Home J. 21. Hurst K. 34. Melbourne M. 26. Pani C. 5. Richardson K. 9. Telford D.	1. Singh J. (G) 6. Bates A. 2. Curley M. 5. Digie K. 9. Duku I. 10. Enoru B. 11. Fairlamb L. 26. Hollis H. 38. Ponticelli J. 16. Riley J. 20. Roberts T.
Substitutes
35. Bone C. 1. Brooks T. (G) 3. Ferguson D. 23. Fitzhugh E. 20. John F. 14. Nouble F. 8. Sheaf M.	15. Donkor K. 27. Lynch O. 19. McGlinchey T. 14. Mols S. 21. Phillips L. (G) . Sayer H. 4. Tonks T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
17', Roberts T. ↓, McGlinchey T. ↑,
26', 1 - 0, Flint W. ⚽,
45', Telford D. ↓, Fitzhugh E. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Grayson J. ↓, Ferguson D. ↑,
51', Riley J. 🟨,
58', Richardson K. 🟨,
68', Home J. ↓, John F. ↑,
69', Hurst K. ↓, Nouble F. ↑,
69', 2 - 0, Flint W. ⚽,
70', Ponticelli J. ↓, Lynch O. ↑,
70', Riley J. ↓, Tonks T. ↑,
80', Adom K. 🟨,
81', Fairlamb L. 🟨,
82', Bates A. ↓, Mols S. ↑,
82', Enoru B. ↓, Sayer H. ↑,
87', Chapman H. ↓, Bone C. ↑,
90+1', 2 - 1, Sayer H. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gateshead won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Tamworth may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Gateshead won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 1:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Gateshead won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:4. (average 1.7:1.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Tamworth - the odds 2.51 are the expected chance of winning is 36.59%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gateshead
English National League
20.08.25	Rochdale - Gateshead	4:0 ✺
16.08.25	Eastleigh - Gateshead	0:2 ✺
English National League Cup
13.08.25	Gateshead - Newcastle United U21	3:4 ✺
English National League
09.08.25	Gateshead - Southend United	0:3 ✺
Club Friendly
29.07.25	Spennymoor Town - Gateshead	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LWLLW
- Tamworth
English National League
19.08.25	Tamworth - Truro City	2:0 ✺
16.08.25	Southend United - Tamworth	2:0 ✺
09.08.25	Tamworth - Scunthorpe United	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
02.08.25	Leamington - Tamworth	2:1 ✺
29.07.25	Tamworth - Aston Villa U21	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

English National League
22.03.25	Gateshead - Tamworth	0:2
08.10.24	Tamworth - Gateshead	2:1
05.04.14	Gateshead - Tamworth	5:0
21.09.13	Tamworth - Gateshead	0:1
02.02.13	Tamworth - Gateshead	2:0
15.09.12	Gateshead - Tamworth	0:2
24.03.12	Tamworth - Gateshead	N/A

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