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Current Win Probability
Barnet 68.6%
Draw 19.3%
Gateshead 12.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
57.8%
23.4%
18.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
63%
21.5%
17.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Barnet has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Barnet's performance.
Gateshead has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gateshead might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barnet than the current prediction. (-5.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Barnet that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gateshead than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gateshead could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
85.7%
0%
14.3%
Barnet - Gateshead Predictions
Users Predictions:
Barnet will win
(6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%). Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Evans O. (G) 8. Browne R. 17. Brunt Z. 4. Collinge D. 15. Glover R. 18. Hartigan A. (C) 11. Kanu I. 26. Kenlock M. 9. Ndlovu L. 22. Oluwo A. 10. Stead C.
1. Brooks T. (G) 6. Bartley R. 8. Booty R. 19. Hannant L. 28. Horton B. 45. Malcolm J. 23. Newton T. 29. Nouble F. 5. Richardson K. 16. Robson E. 2. Tinkler R.
Substitutes
40. Bellagambi G. (G) 12. Chapman H. 21. Clifford B. 32. Cropper J. 23. Grimwood J. 25. Tavares N. 14. Telford D.
42. Akinola T. 3. Haunstrup B. 15. Humbles L. 44. Johnson B. 17. Roles J. 27. Sellars-Fleming T. 41. Shelvey G. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, Kenlock M. ⚽, Browne R. (A),
32', Newton T. 🟨,
38', Horton B. 🟨,
40', 2 - 0, Stead C. ⚽, Glover R. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
56', Robson E. ↓, Johnson B. ↑,
63', Newton T. ↓, Roles J. ↑,
64', Nouble F. ↓, Sellars-Fleming T. ↑,
64', Ndlovu L. ↓, Chapman H. ↑,
64', Browne R. ↓, Telford D. ↑,
67', Oluwo A. ↓, Tavares N. ↑,
76', Richardson K. ↓, Haunstrup B. ↑,
79', Brunt Z. ↓, Clifford B. ↑,
83', 2 - 1, Malcolm J. ⚽,
83', Evans O. 🟨,
90+5', 3 - 1, Stead C. ⚽,
90+7', Kanu I. ↓, Grimwood J. ↑,
Preview
The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Barnet won 0.
Barnet in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
Gateshead has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Barnet could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Barnet is certain favorite.
Our prediction for today's Barnet to win the game is with odds 1.39.
Last 12 head-to-head matches Barnet won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 15:19 (average 1.3:1.6).
Including matches at home between the teams Barnet won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4:6 (average 0.8:1.2).
Last Results with these Odds
Barnet - the odds 1.62 are the expected chance of winning is 57.84%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.