Match Info

MEXICO: LIGA PREMIER SERIE A - ROUND 24

Date: 24 February 2024, Saturday


	Gavilanes de Matamoros		Mineros de Fresnillo

	1	X	2
	1.52	3.7	5.25
	1.61	3.77	5.02
	1.56	3.8	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↑ (1.53)	3.76 ↓ (3.78)	5.16 ↓ (5.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gavilanes de Matamoros
58.2%

Draw
24.2%

Mineros de Fresnillo
17.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.7%

24.2%

16.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64%

22.6%

15%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gavilanes de Matamoros has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Mineros de Fresnillo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gavilanes de Matamoros than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gavilanes de Matamoros, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mineros de Fresnillo than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

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Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs: ) and 12).

Gavilanes de Matamoros in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Mineros de Fresnillo is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Mineros de Fresnillo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Gavilanes de Matamoros is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Gavilanes de Matamoros to win the game is with odds 1.55.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Gavilanes de Matamoros won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Gavilanes de Matamoros won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gavilanes de Matamoros
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
17.02.24	Leones Negros 2 - Gavilanes de Matamoros	1:4 ✺
10.02.24	Gavilanes de Matamoros - Tritones Vallarta	1:0 ✺
05.02.24	Colima - Gavilanes de Matamoros	0:1 ✺
27.01.24	Gavilanes de Matamoros - Tecos FC	2:0 ✺
19.01.24	Correcaminos UAT 2 - Gavilanes de Matamoros	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 29.4 WWWWW
- Mineros de Fresnillo
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
18.02.24	Mineros de Fresnillo - Chihuahua	0:1 ✺
09.02.24	Orgullo Reynosa - Mineros de Fresnillo	1:2 ✺
03.02.24	Mineros de Fresnillo - Coras	2:0 ✺
28.01.24	Real Apodaca - Mineros de Fresnillo	2:0 ✺
20.01.24	Mineros de Fresnillo - Calor de San Pedro	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
25.09.23	Mineros de Fresnillo - Gavilanes de Matamoros	3:0
29.01.22	Gavilanes de Matamoros - Mineros de Fresnillo	1:0
02.10.21	Mineros de Fresnillo - Gavilanes de Matamoros	0:0
13.03.21	Mineros de Fresnillo - Gavilanes de Matamoros	1:1

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