Match Info

TURKEY: TURKISH CUP - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 22 December 2022, Thursday

Location: Gaziantep Stadyumu (Gaziantep)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Gaziantep		Boluspor

	1	X	2
	1.5	4.33	5.5	Watch
	1.46	4.2	5.25	Watch
	1.55	3.95	5.75
	1.48	4.2	5.4
	1.5	4.17	6.09
	1.47	3.9	5.8
	1.48	4.4	6	Watch
	1.5	4.3	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.72)	4.18 ↑ (3.71)	5.67 ↑ (4.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gaziantep
61.7%

Draw
22%

Boluspor
16.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53%

24.5%

22.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.9%

24.1%

22.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gaziantep has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gaziantep's performance.

Boluspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Boluspor might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gaziantep than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gaziantep that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boluspor than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Boluspor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
65.8%	5.3%	28.9%

Gaziantep - Boluspor Predictions

Users Predictions: 38 users predict this event. Gaziantep will win (votes: 25 - 65.8%). Boluspor will win (votes: 11 - 28.9%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 5.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gaziantep: 50.7% – 80.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Gaziantep BB won 4.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Gaziantep BB could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Gaziantep BB is a favorite.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Gaziantep BB won 5 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 16-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Gaziantep BB won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gaziantep FK
Club Friendly
14.12.22	Gaziantep - Hatayspor	1:2 ✺
10.12.22	Konyaspor - Gaziantep	0:1 ✺
Turkish Super League
13.11.22	Fatih Karagümrükspor - Gaziantep	3:3 ✺
Turkish Cup
09.11.22	Gaziantep - Kutahyaspor	2:0 ✺
Turkish Super League
06.11.22	Gaziantep - Kayserispor	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LWTWL
- Boluspor
Turkish First League
17.12.22	Eyüpspor - Boluspor	0:0 ✺
11.12.22	Boluspor - Bandırmaspor	2:2 ✺
04.12.22	Altay - Boluspor	5:1 ✺
26.11.22	Boluspor - Sakaryaspor	1:0 ✺
20.11.22	Çaykur Rizespor - Boluspor	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 TTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Turkish First League
21.04.19	Boluspor - Gaziantep	1:0
25.11.18	Gaziantep - Boluspor	1:0
15.05.18	Boluspor - Gaziantep	1:3
11.05.18	Gaziantep - Boluspor	1:0
03.02.18	Gaziantep - Boluspor	2:0
27.08.17	Boluspor - Gaziantep	0:0
01.04.17	Gaziantep - Boluspor	1:2

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