Match Info

Date: 21 February 2020, Friday


	Gazélec Ajaccio		Dunkerque

	1	X	2
	2.95	2.9	2.35
	3.35	2.75	2.23
	3.25	2.79	2.2
	3.6	2.93	2.34
	3.5	2.8	2.25
	3.52	2.94	2.23
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.36 ↑ (3.03)	2.85 ↑ (2.81)	2.27 ↓ (2.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gazélec Ajaccio
27.3%

Draw
32.2%

Dunkerque
40.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.3%

32.6%

37%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.9%

23.6%

51.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gazélec Ajaccio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Dunkerque has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gazélec Ajaccio than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gazélec Ajaccio that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dunkerque than the current prediction. (+10.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dunkerque could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Gazélec Ajaccio - Dunkerque Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gazélec Ajaccio
French Ligue 3
14.02.20	Le Puy - Gazélec Ajaccio	1:0 ✺
11.02.20	Gazélec Ajaccio - Concarneau	2:0 ✺
07.02.20	Gazélec Ajaccio - Bourg-Péronnas	1:1 ✺
31.01.20	Bastia-Borgo - Gazélec Ajaccio	2:1 ✺
24.01.20	Gazélec Ajaccio - Toulon	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LWTLT
- USL Dunkerque
French Ligue 3
14.02.20	Dunkerque - Bourg-Péronnas	3:4 ✺
07.02.20	Toulon - Dunkerque	0:1 ✺
31.01.20	Dunkerque - Red Star	1:1 ✺
23.01.20	Béziers - Dunkerque	1:2 ✺
10.01.20	Dunkerque - Quevilly	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LWTWW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 3
13.09.19	Dunkerque - Gazélec Ajaccio	0:1
04.04.14	Gazélec Ajaccio - Dunkerque	2:1
01.11.13	Dunkerque - Gazélec Ajaccio	0:2

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