Match Info

FRANCE: LIGUE 2 - ROUND 9

Date: 30 September 2023, Saturday

Location: Stade Marcel Tribut (Dunkerque)

Referee: Petit A. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	Amazon Prime Video


	Dunkerque		Quevilly

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.25	2.75	Watch
	2.55	3.1	2.75
	2.55	3.1	2.8	Watch
	2.7	3.08	2.97
	2.5	3.2	2.75
	2.52	3.22	2.82	Watch
	2.55	3.2	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.56 ↑ (2.18)	3.16 ↓ (3.32)	2.81 ↓ (3.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dunkerque
36.8%

Draw
29.8%

Quevilly
33.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.4%

27.8%

29.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44%

26.8%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dunkerque has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Dunkerque's form might have worsened.

Quevilly has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dunkerque than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dunkerque, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Quevilly than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55.6%	33.3%	11.1%

Dunkerque - Quevilly Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Dunkerque will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Quevilly will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Dunkerque: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Balijon A. (G) 7. Bilingi Y. 26. Sangante O. 23. Gambor H. 28. Thiam D. (C) 8. Keita T. 5. Boissier R. 19. Youssouf B. 27. Ghrieb R. 20. Bardeli E. 21. Gnanduillet A.	1. Leroy B. (G) 58. Sissoko A. 21. Roche Y. 5. Cissokho T. 7. Pendant J. 93. Camara M. 8. Cadiou N. 4. Pierret B. 10. Bonnet A. (C) 19. Coulibaly K. 9. Soumano S.
Substitutes
10. Anziani J. 24. Bah A. 4. Fernandez N. 14. Guel M. 1. Lavallee L. (G) 29. Orelien A. 22. Trichard D.	30. Courel A. (G) 23. Delaurier-Chaubet L. 14. Do Marcolino F. 12. Gbelle G. 35. Legendre R. 22. Loric S. 90. Yade P.
Coaches
Castro L.	Echoafni O.

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ National and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ National).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Dunkerque won 2.

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

Quevilly could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Dunkerque won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 13-19.

Including matches at home between the teams Dunkerque won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USL Dunkerque
French Ligue 2
23.09.23	Dunkerque - Rodez	1:2 ✺
16.09.23	Dunkerque - Grenoble	0:0 ✺
02.09.23	Ajaccio - Dunkerque	2:2 ✺
26.08.23	Dunkerque - Angers	0:1 ✺
19.08.23	Annecy - Dunkerque	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LTTLL
- US Quevilly
French Ligue 2
26.09.23	Quevilly - Angers	0:1 ✺
23.09.23	Grenoble - Quevilly	2:1 ✺
16.09.23	Quevilly - Concarneau	2:3 ✺
02.09.23	Troyes - Quevilly	2:2 ✺
26.08.23	Quevilly - Laval	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LLLTT

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
14.05.22	Quevilly - Dunkerque	3:1
24.07.21	Dunkerque - Quevilly	1:1
Club Friendly
31.07.20	Dunkerque - Quevilly	2:2
French Ligue 3
10.01.20	Dunkerque - Quevilly	3:2
09.08.19	Quevilly - Dunkerque	1:3
01.03.19	Dunkerque - Quevilly	0:0
21.09.18	Quevilly - Dunkerque	3:0

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